Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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017
FXUS64 KSHV 242109
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
409 PM CDT Wed May 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Fair weather caa clouds all over the MS river valley with sfc
winds slacking enough to cancel the Lake wind adv with this
issuance. Monroe had a peak gust to 26 last hour, but I have
monitored the ASOS over the last hour and they are diminishing it
would appear and indeed last ob is only low 20 gusts. There may
be a gust or two yet that meets criteria, but overall the white
caps should be fading this afternoon.

High pressure was centered off to our West in Texas this morning
but has pretty much just melted into the Gulf during this
afternoon. The winds may not be calm enough for ideal radiational
cooling and keep up just enough to limit a shot at some records
tonight. Monroe is the only site forecast to tie at this time. So
it has been cooler in May. Now if the air mass could have made it
through the night instead of settling out over the Gulf we would
have seen more records fall with widespread calm.

At any rate the temperature rebound will be quick because once
again, the air mass has not only modified, but it is already
gone. Hopefully the high ground moisture can stave off the 90s,
but guidance is even looking at low to mid 90s by Saturday ahead
our next rain event, we are running a bit cooler with recent rain
in mind. As far a more rain, the models are a little flaky on
when but sometime late in the weekend seems more likely. The
pattern continues unsettled, albeit some what disorganized as we
transistion to the typical summer pop ups and loose the
Westerlies influence. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  86  69  90 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  53  83  65  90 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  47  84  67  88 /   0   0   0  10
TXK  52  84  68  88 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  49  82  67  89 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  56  87  72  90 /   0   0   0  10
GGG  53  87  70  90 /   0   0   0  10
LFK  56  89  71  91 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.

$$

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