Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 200852
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
352 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WAS
SUPPORTING THE CURRENT CONVECTION OVER NORTH TEXAS...SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE PUSHING EAST
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY LATER TODAY. EXPECTING
AROUND ONE INCH AVERAGE BASIN QPF ACROSS MCCURTAIN COUNTY INTO
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...WHICH SHOULD BE SHY OF FLASH FLOOD AMOUNTS.
AFTER TODAYS SHORTWAVE...MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW RETURNS UNTIL FRIDAY.
WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE FCST THURSDAY MAINLY FOR DIURNAL
HEATING OF A MOIST AIRMASS. ON FRIDAY ANOTHER CLOSED LOW MOVES
INTO SOUTHERN CA...BRINGING BACK SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH A WEAK
SHORTWAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A SURGE OF PACIFIC MOISTURE. THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY RIDGING
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS AMPLE MOISTURE COMBINES WITH UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES...ADDITIONAL HIGHER CHANCES OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE.
MONDAY WILL SEE THE HIGHEST POPS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  85  71  75  64 /  30  50  40  30
MLU  87  70  75  62 /  30  50  40  20
DEQ  81  62  72  60 /  70  50  30  20
TXK  83  65  72  61 /  50  50  40  20
ELD  84  66  72  60 /  40  50  40  10
TYR  83  66  74  66 /  30  50  40  30
GGG  84  69  74  65 /  30  50  40  30
LFK  85  71  79  69 /  20  30  40  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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