Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 211612
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1112 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Current forecast looks to be on track, so no changes needed.
Mostly Sunny/Partly cloudy skies expected across the Four State
Region today, with high temperatures in the mid 80s and Winds
out of the northeast near 5 mph. /20/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 543 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016/

AVIATION...
High pressure over the region will result in vfr skc conditions to
prevail, with the exception of patchy areas of fog btwn 12-14z
this am. Vsby may fall to less than 1/2 mile, mainly at KTXK
where these low vsbys have become prevailing this am. Winds to
remain lgt easterly today...and near calm again tonight. More
patchy late night fog psbl late tonight...although increasing high
clouds may limit this occurrence./vii/.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 405 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Water vapor imagery shows high pressure over the central part of
the US this morning...with dry northwesterly flow aloft over the
ArkLaTex. As a result...skies are predominately clear this
morning...with some patchy fog is starting to form. Visibilities
at this time are still three miles or better most locations...but
a few locations like De Queen and Texarkana have fallen below a
mile. Will hold off issuing a dense fog advisory...as I think the
fog will remain patchy and dissipate quickly after sunrise. Dry
and warmer conditions will prevail across the region today...with
temperatures warming back into normal ranges.

This ridge of high pressure will shift east and flatten on
Sunday...as a weak disturbance moves over the region. This will
bring a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms to our western
counties in NE Texas. The threat of showers and thunderstorms will
return to the rest of our counties and parishes for the work
week...as a series of disturbances move through the southwesterly
flow aloft. At this point in time...the models are showing that
Tuesday and and Friday look like our best chance of showers and
thunderstorms...but cannot rule out isolated to scattered
thunderstorms the other days. Otherwise...expect temperatures to
remain near seasonal norms. Palmer

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  86  66  85  67 /   0  10  10  10
MLU  84  63  83  63 /   0   0  10  10
DEQ  83  61  82  63 /   0  10  10  20
TXK  83  63  82  64 /   0  10  10  10
ELD  83  61  82  61 /   0   0  10  10
TYR  87  67  85  68 /   0  10  20  20
GGG  85  65  85  67 /   0  10  20  20
LFK  87  68  86  68 /  10  10  20  20

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

20



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