Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 300731
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
231 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.AVIATION...
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS OUR COLD FRONT WELL OFFSHORE THE S LA
COAST BUT SNAKES ITS WAY NORTHWEST INTO SE AND CENTRAL TX. THIS
BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO COME A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH AND EAST AS A
WARM FRONT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS SFC CYCLOGENESIS TAKES PLACE
ALONG THE BOUNDARY ACROSS N TX INTO S OK. ALREADY SEEING ESE TO SE
WINDS VEERING AROUND FROM AN EASTERLY DIRECTION EARLY THIS MORNING
AND THIS SHOULD CONTINUE WITH THE RETURNING BOUNDARY.

IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS JUST HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS OUR TERMINAL
LOCATIONS BUT A QUICK LOOK TO OUR WEST ALONG WITH REGION RADAR
MOSAICS SHOWING A LARGE EXPANSIVE MID CLOUD DECK ASSOCIATED WITH
ELEVATED LIGHT RAIN AND SHOWERS ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL OK NC/NW
TX. THIS MOISTURE IN THE 10-15KFT LAYER WILL QUICKLY MOVE SOUTH
AND EAST INTO OUR REGION TODAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT RAIN
OR SHOWERS AT THE TYR/GGG/TXK TERMINALS BY AFTERNOON IF THE HRRR
IS TO BE BELIEVED. OTHER OPERATIONS PROGS HAVE THIS MOISTURE
MOVING INTO THESE TERMINAL LOCATIONS LATER IN THE EVENING/
OVERNIGHT TIMEFRAME. OTHERWISE...WILL LIKELY SEE A CU FIELD
DEVELOP BENEATH THE EXPANSIVE MID CLOUD DECK BY LATE MORNING/
AFTERNOON.

ESE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME MORE SSE ACROSS NE TX BY LATE
MORNING/AFTERNOON WITH MORE OF AN ESE COMPONENT CONTINUING ACROSS
OUR REMAINING TERMINALS TODAY/TONIGHT. SPEEDS WILL BE NEAR 5 TO
10KTS WITH THE HIGHER SPEEDS ACROSS NE TX.

/13/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  87  69  82  68  83 /  20  50  40  40  20
MLU  86  66  81  67  83 /  20  40  40  40  30
DEQ  77  64  76  64  80 /  50  80  60  20  10
TXK  82  66  77  65  82 /  50  70  60  30  10
ELD  84  65  77  64  82 /  30  50  60  30  20
TYR  88  72  82  69  83 /  20  50  40  30  10
GGG  88  71  82  69  84 /  20  50  40  30  20
LFK  93  73  89  72  86 /  20  20  40  40  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13






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