Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KSHV 170505 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1205 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE 06Z TAF PERIOD.
WHILE THE EXTENSIVE CIRRUS HAS SHIFTED E OF THE REGION LATE THIS
EVENING...ANOTHER BAND OF THICK CIRRUS OVER SCNTRL/SE TX WILL
BEGIN TO SHIFT NE INTO THE REGION BY DAYBREAK...ENCOMPASSING MUCH
OF THE REGION AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL ENTER THE SRN
PLAINS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ALSO CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF HIGH MVFR
CIGS AROUND/JUST AFTER DAYBREAK ACROSS THE WRN SECTIONS OF E
TX...BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN THIS OCCURRING AND THUS HAVE
ONLY TEMPOED MENTION IN FOR THE TYR/LFK TERMINALS BEFORE ANY LOW
CIGS LIFT/BECOME VFR. THE MORE EXTENSIVE VFR CU FIELD SHOULD
REMAIN JUST TO THE W OVER CNTRL TX...ALTHOUGH A SCT CU FIELD
SHOULD DEVELOP FARTHER E AS THE LOW LEVELS BEGINS TO MOISTEN UNDER
A SERLY FLOW. WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER TROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...SHOULD START TO SEE AN INCREASE IN AC OVER THE
REGION...IN ADDITION TO THE CU FIELD WHICH MAY THICKEN OVER NCNTRL
LA. CAN/T RULE OUT WIDELY SCT -SHRA AFTER 00Z FRIDAY OVER EXTREME
NE TX/SE OK/SW AR/NW LA...BUT LOW CONFIDENCE IN THIS AFFECTING
CIGS/VSBYS PRECLUDES MENTION IN THE TAF FORECAST ATTM. LIGHT SE
WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME ESE 5-10KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 945 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA THIS EVENING WITH EXITING
CIRRUS EAST AND A BIT MORE TO DRAPE DEEP E TX AND TOLEDO BEND
COUNTRY IN THE COMING HOURS. WE STILL EXPECT SOME LOW CLOUDS
MOVING IN SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK FROM SW TO N. JUST A FEW TWEAKS
TO SKY IN THE ZONES AND A COUPLE BUMPS DOWN AND ONE UP ON
TEMPERATURES OVER MAINLY TX AS THE GOING FORECAST IS IN FAIRLY
GOOD ORDER WITH A LIGHT SE WIND. OVERALL...WE ARE HALF WAY BACK TO
AVERAGE AFTER LAST NIGHTS CHILL IT FEELS NICE OUT THIS EVENING. WE
WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT
RIGHT BACK THERE FOR FRIDAY DESPITE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE NOSING BACK
INTO THE AREA WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND A LIGHT AND BRIEF NORTHERLY
WIND FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  43  70  53  77  57 /  10  10  20  10  10
MLU  42  69  55  75  56 /  10  10  10  10  10
DEQ  41  66  52  77  52 /  10  10  20  10  10
TXK  42  67  53  76  55 /  10  10  20  10  10
ELD  40  68  52  76  54 /  10  10  20  10  10
TYR  46  70  55  76  57 /  10  10  20  10  10
GGG  44  70  54  74  56 /  10  10  20  10  10
LFK  47  71  55  77  57 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.