Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 261824 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
124 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

.AVIATION...
A cold front extends from N of a IAH...to N of a LFK...to just S
of SHV/MLU and TVR line as of 18Z...which should continue to
slowly sink S across the remainder of Lower E TX and Ncntrl LA
this afternoon and early evening. Along and N of the front...MVFR
cigs will continue through much of the afternoon across much of E
TX and N LA...with VFR cigs to the N over the TXK/ELD terminals
through the remainder of the TAF period. Isolated convection will
be possible this afternoon mainly over Lower Toledo Bend Country
and Ncntrl LA...and have continued VCSH mention for the LFK
terminal through early evening before this diminishes with the
fropa. Low VFR cigs will persist areawide through the remainder of
the period before these cigs slowly begin to scatter out/shift S
along I-20 by mid/late morning Tuesday. NNE winds 7-12kts this
afternoon will diminish to 5-8kts after 00z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1120 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A cold front continues to move across the area. Scattered showers
will persist through this afternoon, but the best deep layer
moisture will be west of the CWA, while the best vertical ascent
will be north of the area. Compressional warming ahead of the
front combined with partly cloudy skies have allowed temperatures
to warm very quickly in our southern- most parishes of Louisiana,
mainly from Toledo Bend eastward. These locations are probably
very close to their daytime highs, and temperatures should fall
slightly through the remainder of the day as the front and clouds
spread into the area. Some updates were made to the hourly
temperature grids to account for these trends, but the remainder
of the forecast was left intact. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  85  64  83  57 /  30  10   0   0
MLU  85  64  81  56 /  30  10   0   0
DEQ  76  55  81  51 /  30  10   0   0
TXK  79  59  82  57 /  30  10   0   0
ELD  80  60  80  53 /  30  10   0   0
TYR  79  63  82  58 /  40  20   0   0
GGG  82  63  83  57 /  40  20   0   0
LFK  85  67  85  61 /  40  20  10   0

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

15



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