Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 200214
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
914 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CONVECTION HAS ENDED FOR THE EVENING AND HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE
GRIDS. THE RAIN AND OUTFLOWS HAVE PLAYED HAVOC WITH TEMPS ACROSS
THE AREA...WITH WARMEST READINGS IN NORTHERN AREAS...WHICH
REMAINED MOSTLY DRY. SOME CURRENT READINGS ARE NEAR FORECAST LOWS
ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS...BUT EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE NIGHT.

OTHER THAN TONIGHTS POPS...HOURLY TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS...NO OTHER
CHANGES AT THIS TIME. /14/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 733 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014/

AVIATION...
CONVECTION ON THE DOWNWARD TREND ATTM...ALTHOUGH A STRONG NWD-
MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MAY KICK OFF A FEW MORE SHWRS/TSTMS BEFORE
SUNSET. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE 00Z TAF PD...EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL...WITH TEMPO MVFR CIGS EXPECTED AROUND
SUNRISE AND S-SWLY WINDS AT 5-10 KTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PD. /12/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...

THIS AFTERNOON A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED OVER
SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE FOUR STATE AREA ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS INTO
LOWER PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA NEAR A WEAK
SEA BREEZE. OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS
INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST NEAR AN OLD SHEAR AXIS AND
NEAR THE COLD POOL LEFT OVER BY LAST NIGHTS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED AND SPREAD SOUTHEAST.
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE FOUR STATE
REGION FOR THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES WITH ONLY VERY SLIM RAIN CHANCES AROUND THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY AND THEN AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST INTO NEXT WEEK
AROUND THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN FRINGES. WITH THE HIGH IN CONTROL
EXPECT TO SEE THE TEMPERATURES CLIMB WELL INTO THE 90/S AND APPROACH
THE CENTURY MARK. WITH THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN PLACE THE AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 100 TO 105 DEGREES. /06/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  75  96  76  98  75 /  20   0   0   0  10
MLU  73  97  74  98  74 /  20  10  10  10  10
DEQ  71  97  71  97  71 /  30   0   0   0   0
TXK  74  96  74  97  74 /  30   0   0   0   0
ELD  72  97  74  98  74 /  30   0   0   0   0
TYR  75  95  76  98  75 /  20  10  10  10  10
GGG  74  96  75  98  75 /  20  10  10  10  10
LFK  75  96  76  98  76 /  30  20  20  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$







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