Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 290504
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1204 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2016

.UPDATE...
Changes to overnight pop/wx grid alone.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Radar still shows a few lingering showers over the southern tier
primarily. There is technically a tiny element of sprinkles
approaching Bossier City that has eroded down to this. So we have
settled on coverage exclusively over the south until dawn. /24/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1150 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016/

AVIATION...
Isolated -SHRA noted well East of klfk, is finally diminishing/moving
South and out of the CWA. Attention will turn to the potential for
overnight VFR-MVFR VIS due to fog particularly at kmlu, ktyr,
kggg, keld and klfk, as well as MVFR CIGS more so at klfk.
Otherwise, light Northeast winds will veer to the Southeast
throughout the TAF cycle. Computer models hint at a slim chance
for -SHRA/-TSRA to affect klfk tomorrow afternoon, but will omit a
mention at this time as confidence is not high enough for an
insertion.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1005 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...
We are content this mid evening with pops/wx as is until 06Z or 1
AM. The current few showers on radar may be our last batch which
are riding our point click pop line now. We will allow current
forecast to finish off the evening hours and will update at
midnight to remove wording or extend. /24/

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 400 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Water vapor imagery well depicts the areas of convection this
afternoon across deep East Texas and central Louisiana where a
surface frontal boundary continues to advance southward. Farther
north, a moderate CU field remains over much of the I-20 corridor
while drier air slowly filters southward across southern Arkansas
and the I-30 corridor of northeast Texas and southeast Oklahoma.
Northeasterly flow will prevail overnight in the wake of the front
and skies will gradually clear this evening with isolated showers
and thunderstorms diminishing after sunset across our extreme
southern and eastern zones.

This drier and more stable air mass will stick around through mid
week with a second surface front helping to reinforce the welcome
drop in summertime humidity. High temperatures will continue to
run in the low to mid 90s despite the front while rain chances
will be very few and far between. The nice treat will be cooler,
more pleasant mornings with lows in the 60s and lower 70s through
Friday morning.

Hotter and more humid conditions will return over the Independence
Day weekend with a more typical summertime weather pattern setting
up once again. Isolated afternoon and early evening showers and
thunderstorms will come back into play, but don`t expect much
relief from the heat as most areas will remain dry through the
remainder of the extended period to include the 4th of July. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  95  72  95 /  10  10  10  10
MLU  69  93  71  94 /  10  10  10  10
DEQ  70  92  70  92 /  10  10  10  20
TXK  71  93  71  93 /  10  10  10  10
ELD  68  92  70  93 /  10  10  10  10
TYR  73  95  73  95 /  10  10  10  10
GGG  72  96  72  94 /  10  10  10  10
LFK  72  96  71  94 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

24/29/19



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