Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 030503
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1203 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 03/06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH JUST SOME MID
LEVEL CLOUDS FORMING OVERNIGHT AROUND 7KFT. LIGHT S/SE WINDS TO
BECOME NEAR CALM OVERNIGHT AND THEN INCREASE ONCE AGAIN CLOSER TO
10 KTS AFTER 03/15Z. CU WILL ALSO REDEVELOP WITH ANOTHER WARM
AFTERNOON IN STORE ON SUNDAY. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 945 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER QUIET AND COMFORTABLE NIGHT IS IN STORE FOR THE
REGION...DESPITE SFC RIDGING HAVING SHIFTED E INTO THE MID-SOUTH
AND LOWER MS VALLEY THIS EVENING. IR SATELLITE STILL CONTINUES TO
INDICATE SOME ELEVATED CU LINGERING OVER CNTRL LA THIS
EVENING...IN VC OF A VERY WEAK MID LEVEL /700MB/ TROUGH THAT IS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THIS REGION. THE NEW 00Z NAM INDICATES THAT
THIS CLOUD COVER COULD LINGER OVER THIS REGION OVERNIGHT...AND
POSSIBLY SPREAD NE ACROSS THE SE SECTIONS OF NCNTRL LA...AND FOR
THAT REASON...HAVE ADDED A LITTLE MORE CLOUD COVER TO THE GRIDS TO
REFLECT THIS THINKING...AS WELL AS CURRENT OBS.

MADE ONLY VERY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE CURRENT FORECAST MIN
TEMPS...BUT AM EXPECTING SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPS SUNDAY MORNING TO
START THE DAY THAN WHAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED IN RECENT DAYS...WITH
THE AIR MASS CONTINUING TO MODIFY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS
THE SRLY LOW LEVEL FLOW IS DEEPENED.

ZONE UPDATE ALREADY OUT...GRIDS WILL BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  58  84  60  85 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  56  84  57  82 /   0   0   0  10
DEQ  54  81  56  82 /   0   0   0  10
TXK  58  82  60  83 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  53  83  57  82 /   0   0   0  10
TYR  59  83  61  82 /   0   0   0  10
GGG  59  84  59  83 /   0   0   0  10
LFK  60  86  60  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19



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