Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 300328
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1028 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RESENT ZONES TO REMOVE ISOLD EARLY EVE SHOWERS FOR EAST TX LAKES./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 735 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
LEFT IN ISOLD POPS FOR VERY LIGHT RAIN ACROSS EAST TX LAKES UNTIL
10 PM...GIVEN WEAK ECHOES ON RADAR. ALSO UPPED OVERNIGHT LOWS AT LEAST
A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF AREA...ESPECIALLY EAST TX LAKES
AND NORTHCENTRAL LA...WHERE DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY NEAR 70 DEGREES.
EXPECT MOST LOWS A TAD WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT PER CURRENT TRENDS.
NO OTHER CHANGES EXPECTED TONIGHT EXCEPT TO REISSUE ZONES TO REMOVE
PRECIP AT 10 PM./VII/.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 631 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2014/

AVIATION...
MOSTLY VFR FLIGHT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 30/00Z TAF
FORECAST PERIOD...WITH PATCHY CIGS AROUND 7 KFT. EXCEPTION MAY BE SOME
BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN FOG OR HAZE AROUND SUNRISE. ISOLATED SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA INTO DEEP EAST TEXAS
BUT THE CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN WEAK AND NOT CAUSE ANY SIGNIFICANT
AVIATION CONCERNS. FOR TUESDAY...EXPECT A SCATTERED CU FIELD AFTER
15Z...BETWEEN 4 AND 5 KFT. /14/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 359 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE CNTRL CONUS
WITH A DEEP TROF SPINNING ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. DESPITE THE
INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE...WE HAVE BEEN ABLE TO GENERATE SOME ISOLD TO
WIDELY SCATTERED SHWRS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS E TX AND N LA...MAINLY
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WHERE DEW POINTS CONTINUE TO RUN IN THE MID
TO UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S. FARTHER NORTH...CLOUD COVER IS MUCH MORE
LIMITED WITH JUST SOME FLAT CU AS DEW POINTS ARE SOME 10 DEGREES
LOWER COMPARED TO POINTS SOUTH. CLOUD COVER WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
LATER THIS EVENING ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO FALL OFF NICELY INTO
60S FOR MOST AREAS.

A FEW MORE DAYS OF WARMER WEATHER ARE EXPECTED WITH VERY MINIMAL
RAIN CHANCES THROUGH MID WEEK BUT CHANGES ARE ON THE HORIZON. THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROF ACROSS THE WEST WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE NEWRD
ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO FLATTEN OUT.
IN RESPONSE...A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SEWRD FROM THE ROCKIES INTO
THE PLAINS AND EVENTUALLY OUR REGION BY LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY
FRIDAY. THIS FRONT WILL ACCELERATE THROUGH THE REGION FROM MIDNIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH A LINE OF SHWRS AND TSTMS DEVELOPING
ALONG THE BNDRY. IT WILL USHER IN SOME MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  69  91  71  91  72 /  10  10  10  20  10
MLU  70  91  69  90  71 /  10  10  10  20  20
DEQ  62  87  65  87  69 /  10  10  10  20  20
TXK  66  87  67  88  71 /  10  10  10  20  20
ELD  63  88  66  89  70 /  10  10  10  20  10
TYR  68  89  71  90  74 /  10  20  10  20  10
GGG  67  90  70  91  73 /  10  20  10  20  10
LFK  72  92  71  91  74 /  20  20  10  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

07/07




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