000
FXUS64 KSHV 220250
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
950 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA INTO EASTERN LOUISIANA SHORTLY. HOWEVER ADDITIONAL CONVECTION
TO FOLLOW FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS ACROSS EAST TEXAS...NORTHERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. WILL BE ABLE TO REMOVE POPS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT NORTHEAST TEXAS ON UPDATE.
THE TORNADO WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM AS ISSUED.

SOME MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST...MAINLY TO ADJUST TEMPERATURES
AND DEWPOINTS DOWN. LOWEST READINGS FOR THE NIGHT MAY ALREADY HAVE
OCCURRED IN SEVERAL AREAS DUE TO THE COOLING FROM THE RAIN...SO
FORECAST WILL BE FOR MAINLY STEADY TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA.

UPDATED PRODUCTS OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...
INITIAL LINE OF CONVECTION NOW MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH KMLU AND HAS
PRODUCED WIDESPREAD 40-50 KT WIND GUSTS ACROSS AREA TERMINALS
EARLIER IN THE EVENING. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOTED TO THE SW OF
THE REGION...AND ALSO APPEARS TO BE STRONG. CONVECTION WILL REMAIN A
POSSIBILITY INTO WEDNESDAY...AS THE COLD FRONT SLOWLY TRACKS ACROSS
OUR REGION. EXPECT VRBL WINDS/FLIGHT CATEGORIES DUE TO CONVECTION
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND N WINDS WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS AFTER
FROPA...AS RAIN ENDS FROM NW TO SE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  86  65  91  69 /  60  30  10  10  10
MLU  66  86  63  90  66 /  80  60  10  20  20
DEQ  60  83  57  88  62 /  20  10  10  20  20
TXK  60  86  60  88  65 /  30  10  10  10  10
ELD  61  84  59  89  63 /  70  30  10  20  20
TYR  63  87  65  89  70 /  20  10  10  10  10
GGG  64  86  65  90  69 /  40  20  10  10  10
LFK  70  89  68  91  69 /  70  30  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/12