Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 301137 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
637 AM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will continue through the 30/12Z TAF period. Will
see periods of cirrus develop and stream SE across the region
today...which may thin during the afternoon and evening...before
increasing from the W overnight. Farther E...a wrap-around cu
field is expected to develop by early afternoon over Srn
AR/portions of Nrn LA...on the W side of a stationary upper level
low pressure system over KY...but these will diminish around 00Z
Saturday. NNW winds 6kts or less today will become LT/VRB after
00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 500 AM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Little has changed over the last day or so with the 1034mb high
centered in just North of Lake Superior and the upper low over
IN/KY and appears to be drifting back NW. We had a few clouds
nearby in the MS Delta, but these have since dissipated. Our winds
are NW/N light and many sites actually calm last hour with a solid
range of 50s from right at in De Queen and still 58 here in SHV
with 5 KTS of mixing. The winds will be lighter than yesterday as
the high has drifted Eastward, but we will see more below average
readings for today.

The expected warming trend will be slow and steady over the
weekend and into next week going back to and above average in the
process. Our next system is still looking like mid to late next
week with a chance for showers and Thunderstorms. Meanwhile, the
drought conditions are showing up again in much of the Four State
Area. This will of course worsen with below average rain beyond
the model consensus. However, the Euro is significantly wetter
than GFS, but is has been somewhat more persistent. The GFS has
trended drier in the last run or two. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  82  55  85  58 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  82  54  84  59 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  80  50  81  54 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  80  53  83  57 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  80  52  82  56 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  81  56  83  59 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  81  54  84  59 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  82  55  85  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

15



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