Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 272351
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
651 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2016

.AVIATION...

Thunderstorm activity continues across the ARKLATEX this evening
as an outflow boundary progresses from north to south across the
area. Outside of the thunderstorm activity VFR conditions prevail
and are common at most TAF sites. Storms should die off with
sunset...although a few isolated storms may persist into the late
evening generally south of I20. Redevelopment of shower and
thunderstorm activity will be possible after 06z...as a cold front
moves into the area. A light north to northeast east breeze will
be common across the area this TAF period.

Eleven

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 408 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Subtle signs of the weakening upper level ridge still holding over
east Texas as convection is being steered nearly clockwise with a
gap in coverage along the I-20 corridor of NE TX/NW LA where the
ridge axis has held firm. However, do expect expanding showers and
thunderstorms through the late afternoon and early evening hours
along and ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. Upper ridge
will continue a slow retreat to the west as the front slowly works
in from the N/NE, aiding in the development of additional showers
and storms overnight through Tuesday before gradually diminishing
through Tuesday night. A second front will slip south Wednesday
and help to reinforce the slightly drier and milder air mass in
place in the wake of the first front. This will also squelch any
rain chances for most of the region from mid to late week before
more humid conditions return as early as Friday.

More typical summertime pattern will resume for the upcoming 4th
of July holiday weekend as upper ridging reasserts control. Lower
to mid 90s will prevail for high temperatures with isolated to
widely scattered showers and storms, primarily during the peak
heating hours in the afternoon and early evening. Muggy overnight
conditions will also return will lows mainly in the mid 70s. /19/

&&

.PREVIOUS POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76  90  73  93 /  40  50  20  10
MLU  75  89  72  93 /  40  50  20  10
DEQ  72  91  68  93 /  40  20  10  10
TXK  74  91  71  93 /  40  30  10  10
ELD  74  89  70  93 /  40  40  10  10
TYR  75  92  72  93 /  30  40  20  10
GGG  75  91  72  93 /  30  40  20  10
LFK  76  91  74  92 /  30  60  40  20

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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