Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KSHV 011141
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
641 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 01/12Z TAFS...MOST TERMINALS SHOULD BE EXPERIENCING IFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS AT THE START OF THE TAF PERIOD. MOST OF THE RAIN SHOULD
BE CONFINED TO SRN AR/N CNTRL LA BUT A FEW SCATTERED SHWRS MAY STILL
BE ONGOING FARTHER TO THE WEST INTO E TX. BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE TO SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST ALONG WITH A SFC LOW AND FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDER EXCEPT FOR POSSIBLY A SMALL WINDOW DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS N
CNTRL LA. CIGS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE INTO MVFR BUT SHOULD
DETERIORATE OVERNIGHT BACK INTO IFR/LIFR WITH FOG POSSIBLE AFTER
02/06Z GIVEN THE VERY WET SOILS. WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY BECOME NLY
OR NELY AREAWIDE BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AROUND
10 KTS OR LESS. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL CONTINUES ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS
MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...LOCATED OVER
EAST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE EAST...WITH THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT STALLING ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA UNTIL AT
LEAST SUNDAY NIGHT. AFTER THIS...DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION AS A RIDGE CENTER OVER FAR WEST TEXAS BUILDS EAST...
REPLACING THE UPPER UPPER TROUGH. WILL END PRECIP FROM WEST TO
EAST TODAY BUT KEEP A SMALL CHANCE SOUTHEAST THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
WITH THE TROUGH STILL OVER THIS REGION.

DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND RAIN ALONG WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST SURFACE
WIND MOST AREAS...EXPECT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAYTIME IN CLOUDY
LOCATIONS. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NEAR
NORMAL. MODELS CONTINUE TO HOLD THE RIDGE WELL WEST OF THE AREA
THROUGH THE SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD...SO DO NOT SEE ANY UPPER
90S AT THIS TIME. ALSO...LATE IN THE WEEK...ANOTHER TROUGH WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE PLAINS...PUSHING THE RIDGE SOUTHWEST...
BRINGING A SMALL CHANCE OF CONVECTION TO THE REGION. /14/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  83  68  85  69  87 /  40  10  10  10  20
MLU  84  67  86  67  86 /  60  30  20  20  30
DEQ  79  65  85  66  86 /  20  10  10   0  10
TXK  80  66  85  66  85 /  40  10  10   0  10
ELD  79  65  84  66  86 /  50  10  10   0  20
TYR  84  68  89  70  89 /  20  10  10   0  10
GGG  83  67  86  68  87 /  30  10  10  10  10
LFK  85  70  88  71  89 /  30  10  20  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/14




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.