Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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104
AXUS74 KSHV 151045
DGTSHV

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
445 AM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

...RECENT RAINFALL HAS RESULTED IN CONTINUED DROUGHT IMPROVEMENT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE FOUR STATE REGION...

SYNOPSIS...

DECEMBER RECORDED WIDESPREAD NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS
MUCH OF THE ARK-LA-TEX, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST
TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND PORTIONS OF ADJACENT SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS,
WHICH ALL OBSERVED BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH. MUCH OF THE MONTHLY
RAIN FELL DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER, ALTHOUGH A NARROW AREA OF
HEAVY RAIN DID FALL JUST PRIOR TO CHRISTMAS DAY OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. THROUGH THE FIRST TWO WEEKS OF
JANUARY, MONTHLY RAINFALL TOTALS THUS FAR HAVE LARGELY BEEN BELOW NORMAL,
WITH THE GREATEST TOTALS HAVING FALLEN ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS AND THE
SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA. SINCE THE FIRST OF DECEMBER,
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO NEARLY EIGHT INCHES HAVE FALLEN
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION, WITH THE GREATEST TOTALS FALLING OVER SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS AND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA.

AS A RESULT, DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED AREAWIDE, WITH MODERATE (D1)
CONDITIONS PERSISTING ACROSS MUCH OF MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA, AS WELL AS
SOUTHERN CASS, MUCH OF MARION, UPSHUR, EASTERN CAMP, EASTERN WOOD, AND
NORTHERN SMITH COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST TEXAS. MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D1)
ALSO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOUISIANA GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 20. ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS (D0) ARE NOW IN PLACE ACROSS
MUCH OF EAST TEXAS, SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND THE REMAINDER OF NORTH LOUISIANA.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
THE RECENT RAINFALL HAS RESTORED TOPSOIL MOISTURE ESPECIALLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS, NORTH LOUISIANA, AND MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.
HOWEVER, TOPSOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
NORTHERN LOUISIANA. STOCK POND LEVELS HAVE SINCE BEEN RESTORED GIVEN THE
RECENT RAINS.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
NO BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT. FORE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF JANUARY.

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER
SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT
AT THIS TIME.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
BELOW IS A LIST OF THE DECEMBER AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURES AND RAINFALL
THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:             DECEMBER 2016          DEPARTURE             RANK:
                                        FROM NORMAL      (WARMEST ON RECORD)

SHREVEPORT LA          52.7                +4.6                19TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1874.

MONROE LA              51.0                +2.8               T20TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1930.

TEXARKANA AR           48.7                +3.2                ----
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1892.

EL DORADO AR           48.4                +2.9                ----
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1892.

DEQUEEN AR             45.8                +2.8                ----
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1902.

TYLER TX               52.1                +3.9                ----
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1883.

LONGVIEW TX            51.9                +3.9               T15TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1902.

LUFKIN TX              53.7                +3.5               T18TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1906.

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN             43.8                +1.5
BROKEN BOW             44.7                +2.4
IDABEL                 46.4                +4.0


CITY:             DECEMBER 2016          DEPARTURE          PERCENTAGE
                     RAINFALL           FROM NORMAL          OF NORMAL

SHREVEPORT LA         3.14              -1.63                   66%

MONROE LA             4.83              -0.46                   91%

NATCHITOCHES LA       5.92              +0.08                  101%

TEXARKANA AR          6.42              +1.37                  127%

EL DORADO AR          6.29              +1.11                  121%

HOPE 3NE AR           6.80              +1.42                  126%

DEQUEEN AR            2.71              -1.65                   62%

MT. PLEASANT TX       5.93              +1.51                  134%

TYLER TX              2.65              -1.59                   63%
(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX              3.82              -0.67                   85%
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX           4.80              +0.31                  107%

MARSHALL TX           4.01              -1.03                   80%

LUFKIN TX             4.91              +0.47                  111%

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN            1.50              -3.30                   31%
BROKEN BOW            2.40              -2.40                   50%
IDABEL                2.26              -2.30                   50%


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AREAWIDE THROUGH AT LEAST THE
THIRD WEEK OF JANUARY. HOWEVER...RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH
MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY ALONG AND OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
ENTER THE REGION. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME STATIONARY TUESDAY
OVER DEEP EAST TEXAS AND ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA, BEFORE POSSIBLY
LIFTING BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT AND FOCUSING ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINS
WILL BE POSSIBLE NEXT WEEKEND ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT THAT
WILL ENTER THE REGION.

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR JANUARY-FEBRUARY-
MARCH, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC), INDICATES
ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE FOUR STATE REGION. THIS IS THE RESULT OF A
WEAK LA NINA THAT HAS DEVELOPED IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, WHICH TYPICALLY
BRINGS NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRIER THAN NORMAL PRECIPITATION
DURING THE WINTER MONTHS. WHILE SOME DROUGHT RELIEF WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF JANUARY, DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST
OVER PORTIONS OF THE REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WINTER MONTHS.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
MANY LAKES AND RESERVOIRS REMAIN NEAR POOL STAGE...ALTHOUGH LAKES SUCH AS
LAKE OF THE PINES...FORK...MARTIN...AS WELL AS SAM RAYBURN AND TOLEDO BEND
RESERVOIRS REMAIN SOME TWO TO THREE FEET BELOW NORMAL. LITTLE CHANGE
TO SLIGHT IMPROVEMENTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THE THIRD WEEK OF
JANUARY GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED RAINFALL EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE COMING WEEK.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY LATE JANUARY OR
EARLY FEBRUARY.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.
SHREVEPORT LA 71109

PHONE: (318) 631-3669
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

15/HANSFORD



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