634
FNUS76 KSTO 040444
FWSSTO

Spot Forecast for China Ridge RX...USFS
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
944 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold, late season storm system with a strong cold front will
move across the area Saturday. Widespread wetting rain, isolated
afternoon thunderstorms, and gusty south to southwesterly winds
are expected on Saturday. Gusts up to 25 mph are possible, peaking
late morning to early afternoon. Precipitation arrives early
Saturday morning and continues through Saturday night. There`s a
95% chance of a storm total of 0.50" or more of rain for the burn
site, and a 60% chance of 1.00" or more. There is a 15% chance of
isolated afternoon/evening thunderstorms, which could have gusty,
erratic winds. Dry weather returns early next week along with
gradually increasing temperatures.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely late in the
                     morning, then rain showers and a slight
                     chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....50-54.
Min humidity........76-80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 3 to 6 mph in the early
                    morning, shifting to the southwest winds
                    10 to 17 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the
                    late morning and early afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest around 17 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL rising to 2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 17 mph.
CWR.................84 percent.
LAL.................2.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....31-35.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
 Ridgetop...........West around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Falling to 700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
CWR.................75 percent.
LAL.................2 in the evening then 1.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....46-50.
Min humidity........53-57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Downslope winds 2 to 5 mph becoming west
                    5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest around 8 mph.
Mixing height.......750 ft AGL rising to 5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...EK
Requested by...David Reynolds
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413085.0/STO
.DELDT 05/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bradley.walker@usda.gov,david.reynolds@usda.gov,patrick.green@usda.gov