892
FXUS64 KSJT 280941
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
441 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 432 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Many of the CAMs were correct regarding the development of a line
of thunderstorms across the region this morning. The remainder of
the depicted activity is still located across areas near San
Saba, Mason, and Brownwood as of 4:30 AM CDT. Lightning, small
hail, and wind gusts to 40 MPH are all possible with this
activity. We expect this activity will largely be out of our area
by 7 AM CDT. Afterwards, skies should clear for the afternoon
allowing temperatures to climb into the lower to middle 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 432 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

After the aforementioned activity moves out to the east, a break in
the active weather pattern will ensue. Zonal flow will develop aloft
following the departure of the low pressure. We will generally see a
gradual warm up into the lower 90s through Tuesday. A series of
minor disturbances aloft may yield enough support for a few
thunderstorms for the middle part of next week. Otherwise, both the
GFS and ECMWF depict the same forecast for the most part giving a
fair amount of confidence in this forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1045 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

VFR to MVFR conditions are expected through the period across all
of the TAF sites with CIG FEW015-OVC250. The will be periods of
SKC later in the period. The winds will be generally breezy to
windy (10 to 20 kts with gusts up to 35 kts and out from the west
through 10Z. There is a line of TS that is impacting the KABI and
KSJT. This line will continue to progress eastward over the next
couple of of hours impacting the rest of the terminals. With TS
in the VC, the VSBY will be reduced to 1 to 2 SM at least through
09Z. After this line of TS moves out, both the winds and the VSBY
will improve. The winds are expected to become light AOB 10 kts
and generally out of between the west and northwest through the
06Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     82  57  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  84  55  91  63 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    87  58  91  64 /  20   0   0   0
Brownwood   82  58  86  62 /  10   0   0   0
Sweetwater  81  58  88  64 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       83  58  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       83  59  86  64 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...EPZ