280
FGUS63 KKRF 191659
ESPKSR

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1658Z Sun May 19 2024

Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- KANSAS FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:CHAPMAN CR AT CHAPMAN KS 4NNW
CHPK1 (TOP)    17.0  9%      19.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     37.0  <5%
:LYON CR AT JUNCTION CITY KS 7S
JNCK1 (TOP)    19.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     35.0  <5%     39.0  <5%
:SMOKY HILL R AT JUNCTION CITY KS 4SSW
JUCK1 (TOP)    20.0  <5%     22.0  <5%     32.0  <5%     44.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT FT RILEY KS
FTRK1 (TOP)    19.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     33.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT MANHATTAN KS
MHKK1 (TOP)    16.0  10%     18.0  7%      26.0  <5%     42.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT WAMEGO KS NO.2
WMGK1 (TOP)    17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     38.0  <5%
:VERMILLION CR AT WAMEGO KS 11NE
VCWK1 (TOP)    18.0  16%     20.0  15%     24.0  13%     30.0  5%
:ROCK CR AT LOUISVILLE KS
LISK1 (TOP)    25.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     33.0  <5%     43.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT BELVUE KS 4SE
BVUK1 (TOP)    18.0  97%     20.0  97%     28.0  26%     33.0  <5%
:CROSS CR AT ROSSVILLE KS
RSSK1 (TOP)    23.0  6%      25.0  <5%     29.0  <5%     31.0  <5%
:MILL CR AT PAXICO KS 1SW
PXCK1 (TOP)    19.0  5%      21.0  5%      31.0  <5%     33.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT TOPEKA KS
TPAK1 (TOP)    15.0  11%     26.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     44.0  <5%
:SOLDIER CR AT DELIA KS 3E
DELK1 (TOP)    24.0  8%      26.0  6%      26.5  6%      29.5  <5%
:SOLDIER CR AT TOPEKA KS 4NW
TOPK1 (TOP)    27.0  <5%     29.0  <5%     34.0  <5%     40.0  <5%
:DELAWARE R AT MUSCOTAH KS 2S
MSCK1 (EAX)    25.0  15%     27.0  13%     28.0  8%      36.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT LECOMPTON KS 1NE
LCPK1 (TOP)    15.0  97%     17.0  97%     23.8  97%     38.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT LAWRENCE KS HWY 40
LWRK1 (TOP)    16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     29.0  <5%
:WAKARUSA R AT LAWRENCE KS 4S
LAWK1 (TOP)    21.0  6%      23.0  5%      25.0  <5%     45.0  <5%
:STRANGER CR AT EASTON KS
ESTK1 (EAX)    15.0  38%     17.0  36%     18.0  32%     23.0  7%
:STRANGER CR AT TONGANOXIE KS 4E
TNGK1 (EAX)    20.0  20%     23.0  13%     30.0  <5%     35.0  <5%
:KANSAS R AT DESOTO KS 1N
DSOK1 (EAX)    24.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     33.0  <5%     36.0  <5%
:WILDCAT CR AT MANHATTAN KS SCENIC DR
MWCK1 (TOP)    10.0  21%     14.0  9%      17.0  6%      23.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$