Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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536
ACUS03 KWNS 140817
SWODY3
SPC AC 140816

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0216 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER COASTAL NC...

...SUMMARY...
A MARGINAL RISK FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST OVER COASTAL
NORTH CAROLINA TUESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED.

...SYNOPSIS...

COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD LATER TUESDAY
MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A NEWD-EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SEWD THROUGH THE CNTRL AND SERN U.S.
RESULTING IN A RETURN TO OFFSHORE GULF FLOW.

...COASTAL NC...

ONLY VERY WEAK INSTABILITY WILL EXIST IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR
OVER COASTAL NC TUESDAY MORNING. LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION WITH VERY
LITTLE TO NO LIGHTNING WILL BE IN PROGRESS BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE BY
MID-DAY. DESPITE LIMITED INSTABILITY...AN INTENSE SLY LLJ WILL BE IN
PLACE...AND SOME OF THIS MOMENTUM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE
TRANSFERRED TO THE SFC WITHIN THE HEAVIER CONVECTIVE BANDS.

..DIAL.. 02/14/2016

$$



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