National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS62 KTBW 191347
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
947 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013

.UPDATE...
QUIET MORNING ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT
CONTINUING AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES IN FROM THE NORTHEAST. MORNING
TBW SOUNDING CONTINUING TO SHOW LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN THE
LOW LEVELS AND THEREFORE WITH DAYTIME HEATING WE WILL SEE THE SEA
BREEZES DEVELOP IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AND MOVE WELL INLAND THIS
AFTERNOON. MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INCREASE WITH MORNING
SOUNDING INDICATING PRECIPITABLE WATER AROUND 1.4 INCHES WHILE
MIAMI IS AROUND 1.45 AND JACKSONVILLE AROUND 1.5 INCHES. THIS
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO SEE SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER INLAND
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OVERALL THE CURRENT GRIDS/ZONE
FORECAST LOOK OK WITH NO MORNING UPDATE PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
MAINLY VFR NEXT 24 HOURS. MAIN CONCERN IS LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WHICH SHOULD REMAIN EAST OF I-75 EXCEPT
AROUND PGD...FMY AND RSW WHERE ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP NEAR
TERMINALS.

&&

.MARINE...
WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE WITH RATHER LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING ONSHORE NEAR THE COAST WITH THE SEA BREEZE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAJORITY OF CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN ON LAND...BUT
COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS DRIFT OUT INTO MAINLY THE
SOUTHERN WATERS THIS EVENING. PRESENT MARINE FORECAST LOOKS ON
TRACK WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES PLANNED FOR LATE MORNING FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  88  73  87  71 /  20  20  40  20
FMY  90  71  90  70 /  30  20  40  20
GIF  90  70  88  70 /  40  20  50  20
SRQ  86  70  88  70 /  20  20  30  20
BKV  89  67  88  66 /  30  20  40  20
SPG  86  74  85  73 /  20  20  30  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/MARINE...69/CLOSE
AVIATION...63/JILLSON