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000
FXUS62 KTBW 171313
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
913 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013

.UPDATE...
KTBW 12Z SOUNDING SHOWS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER UP TO 1.18 INCHES. SKIES REMAIN
MOSTLY CLEAR...WITH A FEW POCKETS OF ALTO CUMULUS THIS MORNING
ALREADY BURNING OFF. LIGHT MID LEVEL FLOW WILL ALLOW THE SEA AND
BAY BREEZES TO GET STARTED EARLY AGAIN THIS MORNING...AND WITH
INCREASED MOISTURE...A FEW SEA BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN ZONES.

FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO MAJOR CHANGES PLANNED FOR THE MORNING
UPDATE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS WILL RESULT IN
GENERALLY SOUTHEAST WINDS WITH AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES. WINDS WILL
BE AROUND 15 KNOTS OR LESS WITH SEAS OF LESS THAN 2 FEET. ISOLATED
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH OF THE NEXT FEW AFTERNOONS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR A COUPLE HOURS
TODAY...BUT DURATIONS WILL NOT BE LONG ENOUGH TO REQUIRE A RED
FLAG WARNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  70  89  74  88 /  10  10  10  20
FMY  71  90  71  89 /  20  20  10  20
GIF  69  90  71  91 /  10  30  10  20
SRQ  69  86  72  86 /  10  10  10  20
BKV  62  89  67  90 /  10  20  10  20
SPG  73  87  75  86 /  10  10  10  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...FLEMING
AVIATION...CLOSE