Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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072 FXUS62 KTBW 301900 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 300 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 243 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024 The summer-like weather tease will continue for the most of this week as just enough moisture, precipitable water between 1.3 and 1.5 inches, combines with the sea breezes to cause afternoon and evening convection. However, like our summer convection the location of the highest rain chances will depend on the low level flow. For the rest of today and again on Wednesday the interior and southwest Florida will be favored, but a shower will be possible anywhere away from the coast as the sea breeze moves inland. For Thursday and Friday the easterly flow will increase some with best chances, albeit not much more than 30 percent, across the western half of the Florida peninsula. By the weekend some shortwave energy will be moving across the southeast states and we`ll continue to have enough moisture combined with this energy and the sea breezes to cause more isolated to scattered afternoon and evening convection. Otherwise, we`ll see near to slightly above normal temperatures through the period with dew points remaining mostly in the 60s which is pretty typical for the beginning of May. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 243 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024 Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. Some afternoon and evening showers and possibly a thundestorm could affect KLAL, KPGD, KFMY, and KRSW, with local MVFR/IFR conditions possible, then activity diminishes by 06Z. Winds will shift to westerly at around 10 knots this afternoon then diminish and become light and variable later this evening into Wednesday morning. && .MARINE... Issued at 243 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024 High pressure will remain across the waters with winds and seas below headline criteria. The overall flow will be rather light and variable over the next couple of days with a shift to onshore and speeds increasing to around 10 knots with the sea breeze each afternoon. By late in the week a more east to southeast flow will setup, but we`ll still see a shift to onshore with the sea breeze each afternoon. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 243 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024 Relative humidity values will drop to near critical levels over inland areas for the next several afternoons, but no Red Flag conditions are expected as winds and ERCs remain below thresholds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 71 87 71 89 / 0 10 0 20 FMY 69 88 70 89 / 10 20 20 20 GIF 67 90 69 91 / 20 30 20 30 SRQ 68 87 69 89 / 0 10 0 20 BKV 61 89 63 91 / 0 10 0 20 SPG 73 86 74 87 / 0 10 0 10 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ Close