050
FXUS62 KTBW 031129
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
729 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 727 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Prevailing VFR conditions with winds less than 12 knots expected
through the forecast period. Rain and storm chances remain on the
low side, so will not include any mention of SHRA or TSRA at any of
the terminals at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-Tonight)...
Issued at 455 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Other than a few clouds decorating the skies along the Nature
Coast, it is a mostly clear morning across the Florida Peninsula.
Ridging aloft and surface high pressure remains in place today.
This should keep light easterly winds in place with the afternoon
sea breeze shifting winds onshore. Slightly drier conditions are
anticipated which should limit how much activity, if any,
develops today. Most of the guidance keeps the highest chances
across souther parts of the state. In addition, afternoon
temperatures will be around 90 degrees, so residents and visitors
should stay hydrated to prevent any heat related illnesses.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 439 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Area of high pressure remains in control over the Gulf waters
through the period. Fairly dry conditions are anticipated today.
Winds should remain 15 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less
making for pleasant boating conditions through the week. A sea
breeze is expected close to the coast each afternoon and evening.
A weak front to approach portions of the area during the weekend,
but highest chances of rain are expected to be over land.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  90  71  89  73 /   0   0  20  20
FMY  91  70  90  70 /  10  10  40  20
GIF  91  68  91  69 /   0   0  20  20
SRQ  90  71  89  71 /   0   0  20  20
BKV  92  64  91  65 /   0   0  20  20
SPG  88  73  87  74 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

AVIATION...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Hubbard