000
FXUS62 KTBW 171314
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
914 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

.UPDATE...MODELS APPEAR ON TRACK WITH HANDLING OF MAJOR FORECAST
ELEMENTS. HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH
SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS DRIVING AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
STORMS EACH DAY...PRIMARILY OVER INLAND AREAS. PATTERN CHANGES ON
FRIDAY AS BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS BECOME SOUTHEAST...PINNING SEA BREEZE
SHOWERS AND STORMS NEARER TO THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...17/12Z-18/12Z...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA BECOME SCT AS THEY
MOVE INLAND. VFR CONDITIONS WITH VCNTY TSRA ONLY AT
INLAND/SOUTHERN TERMINALS IN THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHERN TERMINALS
COULD SEE ISOLD SHRA LATE EVENING. LIGHT VARIABLE WINDS THIS
MORNING SHIFT TO ONSHORE LATER FOR COASTAL TERMINALS.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS ACROSS COASTAL WATERS WILL BE 5 KNOTS OR
LESS THIS MORNING...BECOMING SLIGHTLY STRONGER AS THE SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPS THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL BE 1 FOOT OR LESS...WITH A
LIGHT CHOP ON COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  76  91  77 /  20  10  10  10
FMY  94  75  91  76 /  40  30  10  20
GIF  93  75  93  75 /  50  30  50  10
SRQ  90  75  90  75 /  20  10  10  10
BKV  92  69  92  71 /  20  10  20  10
SPG  91  79  90  80 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/MARINE...MROCZKA/LEWIS
LONG TERM/AVIATION...RUDE