000
FXUS62 KTBW 161839
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
239 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Ridging remains aloft over the Gulf of Mexico this afternoon, with
surface high pressure centered east of Florida. This overall pattern
will remain in place through the next couple of days before heights
lower some later this week in response to some southern stream
shortwave energy. Northwest flow briefly develops aloft on Friday as
a trough develops over the Atlantic, then zonal flow takes hold once
again through the weekend and early next week. At the surface, the
ridge sinks southward for the end of the week and through the
weekend before a frontal boundary moves toward the peninsula.
Temperatures will warm each day, most noticeably lows, and rain
chances remain minimal with subsidence over the region. The next
notable rain chance will be Monday with the boundary.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.

&&

.MARINE...
Southeast winds will remain in place for the next several days, with
a turn onshore as the sea breeze develops each afternoon. No
headlines are expected through the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Drier air will remain over the region for the next few days, with
some areas dipping below critical relative humidity values. No Red
Flag conditions are expected, however, as winds will remain below 15
mph.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  66  87  68  87 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  64  88  66  88 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  63  89  65  90 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  64  88  65  87 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  58  89  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  69  84  69  84 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

05/Carlisle