Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FGUS72 KTBW 030903
ESFTBW
FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-040000-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
403 AM EST THU MAR 3 2016

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
...ABOVE NORMAL RISK FOR SPRING FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION...

ALTHOUGH THE SPRING MONTHS ARE TYPICALLY THE TAIL END OF THE DRY
SEASON ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL THE PAST SEVERAL MONTHS HAS CREATED ELEVATED FLOWS ON
AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. AN EL NINO PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE SPRING WHICH WILL PROMOTE A CONTINUED RISK FOR
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL THROUGH MAY. THIS WILL CREATE A HIGHER THAN
NORMAL RISK FOR RIVER FLOODING TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE SPRING...WITH A HIGHER RISK FOR FLOODING DURING THE
SUMMER MONTHS AS ANTECEDENT SOIL MOISTURE AND RIVER LEVELS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS AS THE RAINY
SEASON DEVELOPS IN JUNE.

$$



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