Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
WGUS82 KTBW 011450
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA
HEAD...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT
WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...THE PEACE
RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER TODAY...HOWEVER
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TODAY AND RUNOFF FROM THE CONSTANT RAINFALL WE HAVE HAD
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL KEEP LOCAL RIVERS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-021450-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141001T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.6 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN
  FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.6 FEET...THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 8 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 7 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA STATE
  PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.1 FEET ON JUN 30
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   9.6  WED 10 AM   9.5    9.3    9.1    8.7    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-021450-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141006T0300Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141005T2100Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG 29
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  15.5  WED 10 AM  14.8   14.1   13.7   13.2   12.7


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-021450-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T0112Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141002T1912Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP 26
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  13.2  WED 10 AM  11.7   10.2    9.3    8.4    8.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-012137-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141001T2137Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141001T1537Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON SEP 18
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  11.1  WED  9 AM   9.9    8.9    8.6    7.4    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224



$$

FLC027-021450-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141003T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.9 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD AND
  THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL 30
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11  11.4  WED  9 AM  11.7   11.8   11.9   11.8   11.6


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLC027-021450-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141005T1200Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.141002T0000Z.141005T0600Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS
  EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP 26
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12  13.1  WED  9 AM  13.3   12.8   12.4   11.9   11.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$



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