National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS04 KWBC 170842
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
441 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 17/1200 UTC THRU JUN 20/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY---TN VALLEY---CENTRAL
GULF COASTAL REGION AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS


A RATHER LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST THIS PERIOD FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS---EASTWARD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND TN VALLEY REGION.
ORGANIZED CONVECTION THAT IS MOVING VERY QUICKLY SOUTHEASTWARD
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL LIKELY WEAKEN BY OR SHORTLY AFTER
1200 UTC.  AFTER THIS---UNCERTAINTIES ARE HIGH AS TO HOW
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP.  IN GENERAL---PW VALUES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS THESE REGIONS---SUPPORTING POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAINS WHERE ADDITIONAL CONVECTION DEVELOPS.  WHERE THIS
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY DEVELOPS MONDAY IS NOT VERY CERTAIN WITH LARGE
SPREADS IN QPF DETAILS AMONG THE LATEST SUITE OF MODELS.  THERE
WILL BE ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVES MOVING ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF
THE WESTERLIES THAT COULD SPAWN ADDITIONAL ORGANIZED
CONVECTION---BUT WITH CONFIDENCE LOW---HEAVY AMOUNTS NOT DEPICTED
IN THE DAY 1 QPF.  INSTEAD A BROAD REGION OF .25-.50"+ AREAL
AVERAGE AMOUNTS DEPICTED FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS---THROUGH THE
LOWER MS VALLEY---TN VALLEY---CENTRAL GULF COASTAL REGION INTO THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS----EQUALLY LOW CONFIDENCE WITH
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION POTENTIAL HERE AS FOR POINTS FARTHER TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST.  LOW LEVEL EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW MAY
RE-FOCUS INTO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING---HELPING TO DEVELOP
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION THAT THEN PUSHES EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS.  SIMILAR TO THE POTENTIAL CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
TIER---LARGE SPREADS IN MODEL QPFS AND RESULTANT LOW CONFIDENCE
HAS KEPT THE DAY 1 QPF FROM DEPICTING MORE THAN MODERATE AMOUNTS
IN THE .10-.25"+ AREAL AVERAGE RANGE.

COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST

NO SIGNIFICANT MODELS DIFFERENCES WITH THE EASTWARD PUSH OF THE
STRONG NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC CLOSED LOW TOWARD THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST THIS PERIOD.  THE DAY 1 QPF DID NOT DEVIATE FROM THE
MODEL CONSENSUS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS ALONG
COASTAL SECTIONS OF WA STATE AND OR.

NORTHERN TIER FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY---GREAT LAKES INTO THE
NORTHEAST

SCATTERED CONVECTION POSSIBLE DAY 1 AHEAD OF A SURFACE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SINKING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE COUNTRY
FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY---THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE
NORTHEAST.  PW VALUES ARE NOT VERY HIGH IN THE VICINITY OF THIS
FRONT---GENERALLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS.  LOW CONFIDENCE WITH QPF
DETAILS ACROSS THESE AREAS--WITH LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS DEPICTED.

DAYS 2/3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN PLAINS...

AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF A CLOSED
MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL TRANSPORT MOISTURE
FROM THE WESTERN PLAINS AND  FUEL CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION.
THE HIGHER MOISTURE SHOULD BE FOCUSED ON MT... RAISING THE SPECTER
FOR HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN MT.

THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY RAIN AND RELATIVELY LOW FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE NUMBERS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA OF A PORTION OF NORTHERN MT ON DAY 3. THE
00Z MODEL SUITE CONTINUED TO SHOW GOOD CLUSTERING WITH RESPECT TO
THE EVOLUTION OF THE CLOSED LOW (WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE 00Z
UKMET...WHICH WAS TOO FAST...AND THE 00Z CMC...WHICH LOOKED TOO
SLOW). THE QPF FORECAST WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS
BLEND.

THE DEEP CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW COMES ASHORE LATE DURING DAY 2. AS
THE CLOSED LOW ARRIVES...IT WILL RESULT IN LOWERING HEIGHTS ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND PRODUCING
MARGINAL INSTABILITY. THE MID LEVEL FLOW SHOULD SUPPORT THE BEST
LIFT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AND A SWATH OF 0.15 TO 0.35 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS THE OLYMPICS AND OR COASTAL RANGE ACROSS THE
WEST...AND 0.25 TO 0.50 IN PORTIONS OF THE CASCADES.

OVER ID AND MT...THE LOW LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL JUST
BE DEVELOPING DURING DAY 2. ON THE NOSE OF THE 20 TO 30 KNOT LOW
LEVEL INFLOW...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL INCREASE TO CLOSE TO
AN INCH (WHICH IS TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) ACROSS THE
REGION. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE
INSTABILITY...SO CONVECTION SHOULD PRODUCE AN AREA OF 0.20 TO 0.40
INCHES OF QPF ACROSS NORTHERN ID AND WESTERN MT.

SHORT WAVES RIDING THROUGH THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CLOSED MID
LEVEL SYSTEM WILL HELP SPARK CONVECTION ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST ON DAY 3. COOLING MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN
MARGINAL INSTABILITY...AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REACH NEAR
0.75 INCHES. THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SHOULD
FAVOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...FOCUSED ON THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...PRODUCING A SWATH OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ON THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WA AND OR.

ACROSS NORTHERN ID AND WESTERN MT...THE 25 T0 35 KNOT INFLOW WILL
TRANSPORT 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES (WHICH IS BETWEEN
TWO AND THREE STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) INTO NORTHERN AND
EASTERN MT. THE EAST SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL FOCUS THE MOISTURE ON THE
HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG A FAIRLY STRONG PACIFIC FRONT (WITH AN
ANOMALOUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON THE FRONT). MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW
MODERATE INSTABILITY IN THE AREA...WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL
VEERING...WHICH COULD SUPPORT CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS. THE COMBINATION
OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SHOULD BE FOCUSED ON NORTHERN ID AND
NORTHERN MT...WHERE A LARGE AREA OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF WAS
PLACED. THESE NUMBERS WOULD SURPASS THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES. BECAUSE OF THIS...A SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS PLACED
OVER NORTHERN MT.


...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES...

A DEVELOPING UPSLOPE FLOW IN AN INCREASINGLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT
SHOULD RESULT IN CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES...MAINLY DURING DAY 2. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE HAD GOOD
CLUSTERING WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL PATTERN...AND THE QPF
FORECAST WAS BASED ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/NAM BLEND.

A DEVELOPING 25 TO 35 KNOTS SOUTH SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL JET WILL
TRANSPORT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR AN INCH (WHICH IS BETWEEN
ONE AND TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) INTO THE REGION.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH
GOOD LOW LEVEL VEERING...SUGGESTING SOME ORGANIZATION OF THE
CONVECTION ON THE FRONT RANGE. INITIATION SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE
AFTERNOON...AND THE ORGANIZED CONVECTION COULD LAST INTO THE LATE
EVENING AS IT ROLLS EASTWARD.

THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SHOULD RESULT IN AN
AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF STRETCHING FROM SOUTHEAST WY
ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF CO.


...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES...

A STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHED FROM THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS
TO THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR QPF ON BOTH DAYS 2
AND 3. THE LATEST 00Z ECMWF DID NOT APPEAR TO HANDLE THE DETAILS
ON THE FRONTAL POSITION AS WELL AS ITS PREDECESSOR...SO THE QPF
FORECAST WAS BASED ON A 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF BLEND.

THERE COULD BE AN MCS IN THE PROCESS OF DECAYING AT THE BEGINNING
OF DAY 2 ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. ITS ASSOCIATED MCV COULD THEN
BECOME A SOURCE OF LIFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER
MS VALLEY AND LOWER OH VALLEY DURING THE REMAINDER OF DAY 2. MODEL
SOUNDINGS AHEAD OF THE MCV (OR WEAK MID LEVEL SHORT WAVES) SHOW
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY ACROSS THE STATIONARY FRONT...WHICH
WILL ACT TO FOCUS THE CONVECTION. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
RANGING BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2.00 INCHES WILL FUEL THE
CONVECTION...RESULTING IN A LONG BAND OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF
QPF ACROSS THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREA. NONE OF THESE QPF VALUES ARE
ABOVE THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS...SO NO
ORGANIZED FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

AS THE FRONT DROPS SOUTH ON DAY 3...THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION AND
QPF DROP SOUTH WITH IT. THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE AS MUCH FOCUS
IN THE MID LEVELS...SO THE CONVECTION MAY TEND TO BE MORE
SCATTERED THAN DAY 2. THE OVERALL AIRMASS DOES NOT CHANGE...SO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT. THIS
SHOULD SUPPORT 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY INTO GA AND SC.


...SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND/MID ATLANTIC...

A FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES LATE ON DAY 2 WILL BECOME THE FOCUS
FOR CONVECTION. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ON THE FRONT LATE IN DAY 2
INTO DAY 3 COULD PRODUCE A LARGER AREA OF PRECIPITATION DURING DAY
3. THERE WAS GOOD 00Z MODEL CLUSTERING CONCERNING THE MID
LEVELS...THOUGH THERE WAS SOME SPREAD ON JUST HOW FAST TO BRING
THE SURFACE FRONT SOUTH...THEN WHERE TO PLACE THE SURFACE WAVE ON
IT. TO HELP SMOOTH OUT THE DIFFERENCES...THE QPF WAS BASED ON A
00Z ECMWF/GFS BLEND.

A SHORT WAVE MOVING FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES WILL HELP PROVIDE GENERAL SYNOPTIC LIFT AHEAD OF THE FRONT
ON DAY 2. THE WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SOUTHWARD DROPPING
FRONT WILL USHER IN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AS HIGH AS 1.75
INCHES INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE MOISTURE WILL HELP
FUEL CONVECTION NEAR THE FRONT...AIDED BY DIFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A 90 KNOT JET STREAK OVER NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND. THE CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE ALONG THE FRONT...AS MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOWED UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR. THE HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER
RAISES THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...IN THE FORM OF A
SWATH OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF STRETCHING FROM SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND INTO MD AND VA. THESE VALUES ARE ABOVE THE THREE HOUR
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS...SO NO ORGANIZED FLASH FLOOD THREAT
IS EXPECTED.

AS THE FRONT DROPS SOUTH...THERE IS MODEL CONSENSUS THAT A SURFACE
LOW WILL DEVELOP ON THE FRONT IN RESPONSE TO LIFT AHEAD OF A MID
LEVEL SHORT WAVE. THE MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SURFACE LOW AND SHORT WAVE COULD ENHANCED RAINFALL ACROSS
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON DAY 3...WITH 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
POSSIBLE.


...FL....

MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION DRIVEN BY A MOIST EAST SOUTHEAST FLOW
WILL AFFECT THE PENINSULA ON DAY 2. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE CLUSTERED
WELL CONCERNING THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN...SO THE QPF FORECAST
WAS BASED ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/NAM BLEND.

HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE EASTERN SEA BREEZE
CONVERGENCE WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR CONVECTION. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY IN A WEAKLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT...WITH INITIATION DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AT OR ABOVE 1.75 INCHES SUGGEST THAT THE
CONVECTION COULD LAST A COUPLE OF HOURS AFTER 00Z. A STRIPE OF
0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES PF QPF WAS PLACED IN THE EXPECTED VICINITY OF
THE CONVECTION.

ORAVEC/HAYES


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 503659 500651 497649 493643 489643 475636 468638 462640
      458643 455647 453652 448657 443662 441665 438672 437678
      436684 430691 424700 411717 407725 401733 400737 397739
      396744 385749 382749 378751 368756 360761 358761 356759
      357756 358751 358747 357739 348740 337747 330754 325757
      322762 317769 314777 309785 307790 307794 305802 306805
      304807 301807 294804 287801 275797 269796 261797 256799
      253801 250805 252812 255816 259818 267822 281826 285827
      289829 296833 301841 300845 300851 301861 302871 302878
      303888 305893 307899 308904 308911 308919 313929 315932
      315937 315942 312953 309972 307982 306991 307997 306004
      305009 303014 300020 295025 283032 279034 278037 277041
      278043 281046 282052 284056 286057 289056 295056 301057
      305059 309057 317055 322052 327052 344046 363051 378055
      392061 397061 401062 408059 419058 428063 436068 442069
      445072 447071 447061 447050 445038 444034 441031 438027
      436024 436020 435004 434000 431995 426988 416976 409957
      404948 398936 396932 394924 393906 394882 397864 400852
      402847 404844 411836 415833 420832 423852 426865 425869
      425873 435895 445916 454939 457939 459943 462949 464957
      467961 469974 473987 475993 476001 477007 481008 484007
      486002 486990 484960 483950 484944 483927 480914 478907
      476900 474894 472889 468874 465867 462859 460853 456844
      452833 450825 450821 450795 451776 451771 452767 456756
      462747 466738 475716 477710 480707 483708 493705 495702
      497696 500689 501683 503670 503659
 0.01 536221 538209 539199 539186 536180 527170 522164 518157
      514153 511148 501139 492130 485128 481125 477126 475129
      483139 487145 488150 487155 478164 480177 483179 485183
      488189 488207 491210 493213 496220 497235 500243 502247
      502252 505258 509263 517266 520264 522260 524249 522241
      525236 530229 536221
 0.01 505286 507277 506271 503263 502260 499257 495246 491240
      487237 484237 482233 475229 470232 464230 464225 462222
      458221 451219 442222 437224 435225 435229 435234 432237
      419234 415236 412239 413252 414259 418263 431266 443269
      448269 454272 466276 477279 481278 484279 489283 496285
      503288 505286
 0.01 415754 411753 408755 405760 399765 396771 390782 384793
      380805 381812 381820 384822 387821 391819 393814 396811
      400806 404801 406795 408789 409782 409774 410768 412761
      415754
 0.25 483254 482250 483249 481244 481243 479239 478237 476235
      473237 472237 471241 469245 469249 470251 473255 475256
      477256 478256 482254 483254
 0.25 424021 424012 422002 418998 413995 409994 402996 400996
      395993 390990 387988 383988 377991 374992 373996 372011
      374018 377024 380028 386031 392030 395031 397033 403034
      406034 410029 414022 417021 419023 423023 424021
 0.25 369783 365781 359784 352787 345789 342795 338801 333805
      319822 315828 314835 313847 312854 312862 312873 312879
      313888 319903 321908 323916 323928 323937 325946 325953
      324962 324969 322976 320986 313996 313005 314010 317016
      321019 327020 332018 339016 348016 355015 359010 359003
      358998 355991 354987 358971 360965 363959 371951 376942
      382929 383921 384914 384885 380879 374877 369876 366872
      365868 363858 362850 362843 363838 364829 362821 362812
      362806 369783
 0.50 399019 399016 398012 396008 393007 390006 387006 384006
      382009 382010 380014 381017 382020 383021 385021 388020
      391020 394020 397021 399019
 0.50 374909 373902 371896 366890 364885 361880 355871 351862
      351853 352842 352837 349834 339836 333840 324857 321876
      320881 322887 329893 330899 331905 331911 330922 329927
      330934 333943 333953 330974 329981 328985 323991 317998
      317006 319012 323015 325016 332014 342010 345011 348009
      349006 349003 347996 344988 346975 348965 350954 353947
      357938 359934 362930 366924 369921 372917 373913 374909
 1.00 334001 333000 330000 328002 330003 333004 334001

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 535191 537186 537182 538172 537161 536153 533146 530139
      527132 525129 522127 519122 517115 513102 510081 507074
      506067 500058 493058 488059 483066 482068 481073 479081
      476088 474093 472098 470106 467112 463117 458120 453124
      449128 443129 440132 439137 439145 442152 444158 445163
      443168 441173 435180 431185 430194 430200 431203 429208
      422220 417228 414237 414245 416252 421257 426259 430258
      435259 439258 450257 456255 463256 468255 475257 484256
      491259 495264 502268 506270 508268 515257 513245 509232
      516220 524208 531200 535191
 0.01 458659 457655 455654 451650 447649 442651 431662 421673
      406684 400690 397694 385706 369716 359722 351730 340737
      332747 324758 315769 313774 312782 312795 310815 307826
      308832 307839 308853 307859 308864 307869 307875 306881
      307896 307903 308909 310924 315956 316960 318962 317968
      317986 317992 318000 316016 320023 325034 326036 329037
      335037 340038 344039 346041 350046 352054 355059 359062
      374058 389060 414058 419061 427062 431066 434070 436076
      435083 435088 437092 438096 440098 444103 448104 452103
      455098 454092 452089 451084 449080 450072 449053 449042
      449036 447032 441023 435019 432016 433010 434008 431004
      430000 426996 416997 411993 407988 391978 387975 382972
      376961 373955 372950 373946 375938 377934 377930 379927
      381923 384921 388909 399890 402875 404869 404863 407857
      409850 411842 413834 420806 427783 431770 433765 436759
      438751 442744 452731 456724 458718 457709 455700 454690
      455683 456680 459667 458659
 0.01 291815 289812 287810 280807 276805 270804 265802 261802
      257803 254805 253809 256813 260816 265819 271822 277823
      283824 287822 289819 291815
 0.25 531175 531168 530157 527149 524144 509119 506113 503107
      501099 497097 494099 488110 481121 478129 473132 468135
      463140 460144 459149 461157 467159 478156 482161 484169
      486175 491181 492190 490198 486202 483206 484211 489218
      493222 497222 500216 504209 510204 518198 523192 526186
      531175
 0.25 440697 440690 437685 429687 419690 409695 402703 395714
      387722 376732 370736 363739 353743 347746 342749 334757
      330762 327767 323775 321787 322796 323805 325817 327828
      328840 325852 324857 324864 326877 328887 327894 323902
      320907 319913 318923 320939 323959 323970 325980 333001
      334006 337012 343020 355034 360040 369043 378043 389044
      399040 405040 410044 413043 415041 415035 414031 411025
      407018 399013 396011 392012 387009 383006 378003 375000
      372995 370987 366977 361969 357962 355956 355949 361930
      365920 368910 371884 373877 377870 382862 387852 390841
      391829 392821 393815 397807 408791 412783 414771 415765
      417759 422748 428737 431726 435712 439703 440697
 0.25 478239 467234 462231 456229 450225 454223 454220 451220
      447220 442221 438222 435225 433232 430236 428239 430241
      436243 445244 454243 459243 463241 466238 469237 473237
      476240 478239
 0.25 445039 444038 442036 441034 438035 437036 438037 439040
      441041 444042 445039
 0.25 334028 333025 331023 329023 328025 329026 330028 332030
      334028
 0.25 278810 276808 275808 272807 270807 269807 269808 270810
      273813 274815 277813 278810
 0.50 528169 527163 523154 517143 513138 509133 504128 499123
      492125 487130 485135 486139 488143 497153 499160 499164
      498173 498177 500180 508188 512189 515187 515181 516176
      521177 524177 527173 528169
 0.50 428706 423700 416697 412697 408701 402711 400721 398727
      395733 390740 380744 347751 338758 332765 329771 327776
      326786 328805 331818 335830 339837 340840 341846 341852
      335860 333869 332878 333888 333898 330908 326918 324926
      325942 328951 330956 329961 328965 328971 331981 336989
      339993 341998 343006 345011 350019 357026 363027 368028
      373026 376026 378028 380033 383036 386036 387029 386024
      380022 377020 371008 369004 367997 364990 360989 357986
      352978 346973 342972 338968 337963 336960 337958 343951
      347940 353936 357928 359919 360914 359907 359896 361883
      364873 366861 375849 380840 380835 380830 378825 374819
      371816 372811 379802 388794 396791 401788 403785 406775
      411766 416744 416737 416728 417724 420721 425717 428706
 1.00 523168 522167 520163 520162 517157 514153 514152 512149
      509147 509146 506144 503144 502145 501150 503153 503155
      505157 508160 509161 511162 514164 516167 519168 522169
      523168
 1.00 408750 408746 407742 405743 402744 400746 397748 395749
      395750 394750 392751 390755 390757 390760 391764 394766
      397766 400765 402762 403761 404759 406755 408751 408750
 1.00 376768 374764 369760 359756 355755 352756 348759 345762
      340768 337772 334778 333783 332790 335803 337806 339805
      342805 345803 349799 352795 359791 371789 374789 376787
      377783 378778 376769 376768
 1.00 370832 368829 367829 365831 362834 361836 362839 364842
      365843 367841 369836 370832
 1.00 354831 354828 353824 350822 349826 349830 351833 353834
      354831
 1.00 348884 346881 344879 341881 340886 339890 340897 340902
      339908 339914 339918 340923 343922 345920 345916 345910
      346903 347898 348895 348888 348884
 1.00 362015 363012 362008 359005 356004 354006 353007 352009
      353013 355016 357017 359018 362016 362015
 1.00 336936 335933 333930 331933 331934 332937 334939 336936
 1.50 362764 361761 358760 356760 355760 354761 353765 352769
      355772 356772 358770 359770 360767 362764

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 552807 543770 537754 534750 531746 527744 523746 520750
      522759 523764 526767 524774 520779 519784 514789 507790
      502789 492789 474790 464790 459793 457799 457811 456817
      456822 457852 460867 464871 467871 473868 479871 482877
      480883 472903 470909 465914 466919 469922 470926 483940
      497956 500959 505958 511957 515960 522959 529956 532952
      535949 548931 551923 552919 553914 554907 554897 555890
      555880 554865 552860 551848 551832 553826 554819 552807
 0.01 542182 542172 543163 541152 539147 539142 537137 536131
      534125 528121 526111 516071 513064 510058 507050 502043
      492030 487028 484029 481030 475033 471039 463051 463064
      462067 459067 456068 452074 452080 454082 458089 458096
      457101 452113 435141 433151 433161 433166 434170 436178
      440185 445192 449194 452193 457189 461189 464190 468196
      467201 466205 461207 455210 450210 447212 443212 439213
      434215 428217 425220 421221 418224 414230 412238 416245
      425248 430248 444249 447248 451248 456246 465248 468247
      472248 481251 485252 487256 490258 492262 494269 498275
      501277 504276 510274 513271 515265 517263 516260 514251
      514247 516246 519248 523247 525245 528241 529236 531234
      531229 528214 529209 530207 533205 537198 539192 542182
 0.01 336683 320705 317717 315722 312726 309730 307735 303740
      299743 293750 288762 285771 276782 268791 257796 253805
      253809 255811 258814 261817 264819 263823 269827 274828
      277834 279835 279839 278846 277853 278858 281871 284875
      286882 288885 290891 294895 299897 301898 301902 299908
      309937 311945 313953 314958 318963 326970 330973 334976
      337979 340983 346990 355999 359004 357010 356016 359021
      360023 363023 369023 382022 386024 391025 407025 420023
      428021 435020 443019 446019 450016 458015 462012 464009
      464005 463995 461988 460978 453965 450962 450957 455952
      456947 456941 458938 462934 463928 462923 460919 456918
      452914 447913 441913 439917 437925 437932 437936 434936
      430932 423926 417926 413925 405923 401922 395918 394914
      391910 384900 380896 378888 376880 376876 377871 377867
      376863 378860 378854 380849 383843 382835 382828 381819
      385814 389806 393800 394795 393782 391773 392767 390751
      390737 393727 396715 402700 405687 407674 409663 407659
      403657 393655 383657 376657 369663 361669 354671
 0.25 539800 538795 537794 534797 534798 532800 530804 530806
      528809 527812 529816 530817 532815 533814 535812 537808
      538806 539801 539800
 0.25 541856 537855 534853 532850 530850 527853 517862 512871
      508881 507890 505896 503902 503907 504913 507915 507909
      509904 514893 520883 526873 530868 533865 536866 539865
      540861 541856
 0.25 519807 518806 515806 514805 511804 509803 508803 505803
      502805 501808 501812 501813 503816 505817 508817 510817
      511817 514816 516814 516813 519809 519807
 0.25 536181 537174 537170 535159 529146 523134 516122 513115
      511105 510094 508087 506077 504071 498059 491044 487041
      483043 478046 476051 472068 470075 469082 468085 465095
      466105 469112 465117 461122 457126 448134 444138 441144
      440153 441158 443166 445171 450176 456176 463174 468174
      471176 475182 476189 478195 479201 477205 476207 472210
      467212 462215 457217 450216 440218 438224 435227 431228
      427232 427237 429239 437241 442240 447237 450234 447229
      446224 450223 455221 462223 466225 469224 473223 479225
      483230 487235 495239 502240 506234 512234 516233 519231
      521226 522216 523208 525201 529194 534187 536181
 0.25 370684 369680 367678 362679 353679 346687 341695 338703
      336712 334720 334730 335734 336741 326749 321756 316763
      307770 302776 298792 300799 303803 306807 308815 311819
      312823 311831 310836 308840 304847 305852 308855 312861
      310870 308877 309883 311889 312892 317900 320913 324924
      328929 334934 341939 346944 348948 351958 355971 359979
      365985 378992 386990 392993 395994 402996 408995 417994
      421994 421990 418978 417975 414971 411968 407967 398964
      386963 381964 379970 375972 373970 371963 371957 371946
      368938 364930 361924 359919 358912 355903 344889 342881
      342875 342865 344846 344822 346817 349813 354805 360799
      365792 369784 373777 371770 369765 362756 358753 355748
      352742 352736 359719 366703 369692 370684
 0.50 534175 534166 533160 528151 524144 518135 513127 509117
      505105 503095 501081 498071 488055 485053 483055 482059
      481063 480070 479074 476079 475083 476090 483109 483116
      482121 478124 475126 466130 460135 450146 449154 450159
      452163 456164 465166 473171 479181 481191 484200 481209
      480212 481216 484219 490227 496232 499230 501223 502218
      505215 511215 514213 518211 519207 523195 526188 530185
      534175
 0.50 360691 357689 354688 352690 347695 346699 344702 343707
      342711 340715 341723 344723 346721 348718 351712 353709
      355705 357701 359696 360691
 0.50 359777 349763 345759 342758 338758 336755 332756 329759
      323765 317771 310776 307779 305783 305791 307799 312806
      316808 320803 323798 324794 326786 328781 333780 336783
      336786 334795 330802 332803 335802 340800 348796 355789
      357786 359781 359777
 0.50 390979 390976 388974 385974 383977 384980 385982 388981
      390979
 0.50 368950 367943 364938 359930 352925 353919 352911 349904
      344903 337901 333893 332886 331879 329873 327871 323872
      319875 317879 316884 317891 319895 324905 326913 328917
      335924 340926 346926 350928 351933 354949 355956 357963
      362976 364978 368978 370975 367958 368950
 0.50 333833 332823 328813 325813 321815 318821 317829 320833
      321837 323847 325857 326866 329868 331867 332864 333857
      333847 333840 333833
 1.00 523173 524169 524165 524158 520151 512137 510133 508127
      505124 501126 498132 492135 482134 477134 474136 472141
      475151 480155 486161 490168 495176 500177 505178 509184
      514188 518187 520177 523173
 1.00 492099 491095 491092 490090 488086 487086 485084 483085
      482088 482090 483094 484099 485100 486103 488105 490103
      491103 492099
 1.00 363958 363955 363951 362948 361948 361952 361955 362959
      363959 363958

$$