000
FXUS04 KWBC 210853
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
453 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 21/1200 UTC THRU MAY 24/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...MID MS VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS

THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY STRETCHING FROM THE CENTRAL
TO SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BECOME VERY SLOW MOVING FROM W-E OVER THE
NEXT 24-36 HRS...FINALLY REACHING THE LOWER-MID MS VLY BY THE END
OF THE PERIOD.  ADDITIONAL MULTICELLULAR LINES OF CONVECTION ARE
EXPECTED GIVEN THE STRONG S-SW LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO AND AHEAD OF
THIS BOUNDARY WITH PW`S AVERAGING SOME 1.5-2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE THE MEAN.  STRONG FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND VERY FAVORABLE
UPPER DIFFLUENCE IN THE COUPLED JET EXIT/ENTRANCE REGION OVR THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED ACTIVE CONVECTIVE PERIOD
 THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD.  THERE WILL BE A BREAK
IN ACTIVITY BETWEEN CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING AND THEN A
SECOND ROUND LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT OVERALL A VERY ACTIVE
PRECIPITATION PERIOD LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
INTO THE MID MS VALLEY REGION.  WHILE THERE ARE MORE NUMEROUS
DIFFERENCES IN QPF DETAILS ON THE SHORTER FORECAST TIME SCALE
AMONG THE LATEST MODELS...THERE REMAINS GOOD AGREEMENT OVERALL FOR
THE DAY 1 PERIOD FOR HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM NORTHEASTERN
TX...ACROSS EASTERN TO SOUTHEAST OK...CENTRAL TO NORTHERN AR...AND
INTO SOUTHERN MO...WITH ADDITIONAL AREAL-AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 1-2
INCHES DEPICTED.

...NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY/UPPER LAKES AND
NORTHERN NY...

THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE WITH THE VERY
SLOW EASTWARD PUSH OF THE STRONG CLOSED LOW INITIALLY OVER THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  A PERSISTENT COMMA
HEAD/MID LEVEL DEFORMATION PRECIPITATION BAND WILL AFFECT THE
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE FAR NORTHERN UPPER MS VALLEY WITH A
DURATION MODERATE TO ISOLATED HEAVY PRECIPITATION EVENT.  THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE ABOVE AREA ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES INTO
NORTHERN NY WILL HAVE A BETTER CHANCE OF CONVECTION DAY 1 AS
LOW-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVERRUNS THE WEST TO EAST ORIENTED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED FROM THE UPPER LAKES INTO NORTHERN NY AND
NEW ENGLAND.  MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
HERE.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

HEIGHT FALLS OFF THE WEST COAST OF CANADA WILL DIVE SOUTHWARD DAY
1...AMPLIFYING A CLOSED LOW THAT WILL PUSH ONSHORE THE PAC NW BY
00Z WED.  MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR .25-.75" AMOUNTS (HIGHEST OVER
THE COASTAL RANGES AND WRN SLOPES OF THE CASCADES)...AS A STRONG
FRONTAL BOUNDARY BRINGS STRENGTHENING UVVS...HIGHER PW
VALUES...AND MUCH COOLER TEMPS INTO THE PAC NW THIS PERIOD.  A
COMBINATION OF THE NAM...SREF MEAN...AND ECMWF WERE USED PRIMARILY
FOR QPF DETAILS THIS PERIOD.

...SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC SOUTHWARD INTO FLORIDA...

AN AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES ORIGINATING OUT OF THE GULF
STREAM WILL ALSO PERSIST DAY 1 FROM THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC
SOUTHWARD INTO FL. A RATHER NARROW MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS ORIENTED
NORTH-SOUTH ACROSS THESE AREAS WILL KEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES HIGH TODAY.  CONFIDENCE IN QPF DETAILS RATHER LOW IN THIS
AXIS...BUT HIGHER OVERALL FOR THE 24 HOURS PERIOD THAT ADDITIONAL
MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL FALL (PARTICULARLY
ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA LATER TODAY WITH THE DEVELOPING GULF
BREEZE AND STRENGTHENING LLVL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE).

DAYS 2-3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

A DEVELOPING SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
WILL RAISE THE SPECTER OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN ID
AND WESTERN MT...MAINLY DURING DAY 2. A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL WAS ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA FOR DAY 2. OUTSIDE
OF THE 00Z NAM...WHICH WAS STILL TOO FAR WEST WITH THE CLOSED
LOW...THERE WAS GOOD MODEL CLUSTERING WITH THE CLOSED LOW...AND
THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/UKMET.

AS THE CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM WOBBLES FURTHER INLAND ACROSS WA
AND OR...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW INCREASES AHEAD OF IT. THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW...WHICH INCREASES TO NEAR 35 KNOTS...BECOMES UPSLOPE ACROSS
THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...AND FOCUSES INCREASED MOISTURE (WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 0.75 INCHES...WHICH IS ABOUT TWO
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) ON THE TERRAIN. THE QPF FORECAST
HERE (BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.50 INCHES) IS NEAR OR JUST ABOVE THE
THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS...SO A SLIGHT RISK AREA
WAS ASSIGNED THERE.

ELSEWHERE...STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MARGINAL
INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN A LARGER COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. BEHIND THE CLOSED LOW...THE WESTERLY
FLOW WILL FOCUS THE MOISTURE IN THE COASTAL TERRAIN OF WA AND
OR...WHERE 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED.

ON DAY 3...THE PATTERN IS MORE OR LESS THE SAME...BUT THE MOIST
INFLOW IS CENTERED MORE ON EASTERN MT AND THE WESTERN DAKOTAS. THE
AXIS OF HEAVIEST QPF IS DISPLACED INTO AB...BUT A STRIPE OF 0.25
TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS RETAINED FOR THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.
ONCE AGAIN...THE WESTERLY MID LEVEL FLOW FOCUSES THE MOISTURE ON
THE WA COASTAL RANGE...WHERE AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF
WAS PLACED OVER WESTERN WA.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

MOISTURE RETURNING ON AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW FROM THE GULF
WILL HELP FUEL SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON DAY 3. THE 00Z ECMWF SEEMED TO HANDLE THE
RETURN OF THE MOISTURE BEST...AND WAS USED AS A QPF TEMPLATE HERE.

THE RETURN FLOW AROUND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTER OF THE
COUNTRY WILL BRING HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR (BETWEEN 1.25 AND
1.50 INCHES) BACK INTO TX...OK AND KS DURING THE DAY. THE
INCREASED MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG AN
AXIS NEAR THE DRY LINE. WEAK SHORT WAVES IN THE FLOW WILL PROVIDE
LOCAL SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT...BUT AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS AS THOUGH
THE CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED ON DAY 3. BECAUSE OF THIS
LIMITING FACTOR...AN AXIS OF 0.15 TO 0.30 INCHES OF QPF WAS
PAINTED ALONG THE DRY LINE.


...OHIO VALLEY INTO THE GULF COAST...

HIGHER MOISTURE AIR TRANSPORTED NORTH AHEAD OF A SURFACE COLD
FRONT WILL HELP SPARK CONVECTION FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST. THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE VARIES AMONG
MODELS...AND THE QPF WAS BASED LARGELY ON A 00Z ECMWF/UKMET BLEND.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.50 TO 1.75 INCHES WILL BE FUNNELED
NORTH AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT DURING DAY 2 UP INTO OH/IN.
THE MOISTURE WILL HELP FIRE CONVECTION...AIDED BY WEAK DIFLUENCE
IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A 90 KNOT JET STREAK. MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH A
UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILE. THE BEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE OCCURS AROUND 00Z ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...AND THIS
SHOULD BE THE BEST TIMING FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

DESPITE THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE AIR...THE WIND PROFILE
SUGGESTS THE CONVECTION SHOULD KEEP MOVING...LOWERING THE
POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. FOR THE MOST PART...THE QPF WAS
KEPT IN THE 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH RAIN BECAUSE OF THE SPEED OF
MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM


...GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

MOISTURE RIDING UP AND ALONG THE FRONTAL SYSTEM ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES AND NORTHEAST WILL BEING THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN FOR BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THE FOCUS WILL SHIFT FROM THE GREAT
LAKES AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON DAY 2 TO THE NORTHEAST AND MID
ATLANTIC STATES ON DAY 3. WHILE THERE HAS BEEN SOME TIMING ISSUES
WITH THE FRONTS...A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/UKMET WAS USED A GUIDE
FOR THE QPF FORECAST.

ON DAY 2...THE AXIS OF QPF IS FOCUSED ON THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.25 AND 1.50 INCHES IS
TRANSPORTED INTO THE AREA ON A 40 KNOT SOUTH SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL
JET. THIS WILL FEED CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE
INSTABILITY...AIDED BY WEAK DIFLUENCE.  THE CONVECTION WILL
SUPPORT A QPF AXIS OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES STRETCHING FROM WESTERN
MI INTO NORTHERN VT.

ON DAY 3...THE AXIS SHIFTS WITH THE FRONT TO THE NORTHEAST AND MID
ATLANTIC STATES. A DEEPENING SOUTH SOUTHWEST MID LEVEL FLOW AHEAD
OF A DEVELOPING LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL FEED PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES OF 1.50 TO 1.75 INCHES ON A 30 TO 35 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WEAK DIFLUENCE IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A
110 KNOT JET WILL AID IN SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT...AND HELP FORM
CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT. A STRIPE OF 0.75 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF
WAS PLACED FROM ME INTO NORTHERN MD...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ON
EITHER SIDE.


...FL...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL FLOW WILL OPEN UP ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA
DURING DAYS 2 AND 3. THIS WILL AUGMENT THE NORMAL SEA BREEZE
CONVECTIVE REGIME...AS A GENERALLY SOUTHEAST FLOW FAVORS EAST
COAST CONVECTION. THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE SEQUENCE
OF EVENTS HERE...AND THE QPF WAS BASED LARGELY ON A 00Z
ECMWF/GFS/NAM BLEND.

THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE PENINSULA WILL AID IN CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REGION ON DAY 2. COOLER MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES WILL HELP ACTIVITY BECOME A BIT MORE WIDESPREAD THAN
THE NORMAL REGIME...WITH AN EAST COAST BIAS WITH RESPECT TO THE
SEA BREEZE.  MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY
AND WEAK SHEAR...AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.75 INCHES
SUGGEST THE ACTIVITY COULD LAST INTO THE EVENING. AN AREA OF 0.25
TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FL.

ON DAY 3...THE SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW DEEPENS EAST OF THE
PENINSULA. THIS MAY ALLOW THE AXIS OF CONVECTION TO HIGH THE EAST
COAST MORE...AND PERHAPS JUST OFFSHORE. OTHERWISE...THE AIRMASS
DOES NOT CHANGE MUCH AS THE CLOSED LOW OPENS UP INTO A LONG WAVE
TROUGH AND DRIFTS EAST. BECAUSE OF EXPECTED SHIFT IN THE AXIS OF
CONVECTION...AN AREA OF 0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES QPF QPF WAS PLACED
NEAR THE EAST COAST.


HURLEY/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 483687 481679 478673 471666 456655 448650 442649 438646
      435644 429644 423651 421655 418659 414668 413672 413677
      410722 410731 410738 409745 409750 408754 406760 403765
      397779 393782 389780 383774 379771 376768 370763 364758
      361756 357757 352759 350758 355750 358743 350746 340752
      337755 333760 330769 323775 313778 307777 296772 281765
      276764 268764 253766 246772 243777 240784 237788 236793
      237811 238817 242822 246824 249824 256825 268827 274829
      282831 290834 297838 311842 318845 324846 328849 336849
      343850 349850 352851 358855 364859 363862 360865 337888
      331891 329894 319899 311898 302900 297901 295904 294909
      296912 303918 303923 302927 299933 297940 293956 291965
      284969 278976 276984 274988 276992 283996 288000 296000
      307999 312000 316003 322007 326005 331004 344996 349992
      355985 363973 373960 377952 381943 385932 387928 390926
      393927 398925 402923 408921 419917 425914 430913 436915
      440917 441923 442930 441934 441941 440946 439953 436958
      430964 427974 429982 428989 430995 429001 428005 425014
      426029 438044 441048 445050 451056 459055 463052 468052
      476051 479050 482046 485036 487028 488023 490011 492997
      497972 500960 501949 506924 506919 507915 507908 508894
      508885 509881 508866 506841 499814 495799 494791 494783
      493755 492746 492741 490728 490723 488715 487706 484693
      483687
 0.01 532224 533214 532209 530207 530203 530194 530189 529186
      527179 525173 522170 516160 510151 504141 500138 498135
      492133 487130 478128 474129 469131 465134 460135 459140
      458144 455146 447149 443157 443162 447166 446175 443179
      438187 436189 435193 435200 433209 431212 422216 416220
      408226 402234 399239 399246 407253 414259 417261 423263
      441263 445262 451262 454261 459261 471263 475262 480263
      486266 491271 494273 498279 502282 507283 512275 515272
      520269 522260 524251 532224
 0.25 478711 475701 470689 466683 462677 444666 438661 434659
      431659 427666 425673 424681 424688 427702 428707 427711
      422718 418723 417731 419747 417759 416766 416775 413790
      412805 412812 410819 408824 406828 407831 406835 405837
      401839 382854 376859 372863 362873 352881 344889 334898
      324906 317914 315920 315924 308935 306941 304948 303959
      302966 299971 295974 286976 284979 286983 289987 295989
      300990 310991 314989 320990 325992 331992 343988 351980
      358970 365957 370947 375938 382926 390917 395914 402910
      409908 413905 417898 422891 425886 427878 429872 431865
      433859 437857 441858 445864 448873 447880 444889 444896
      448911 450921 450935 447951 438975 437983 438992 440999
      444004 449007 454010 458009 463005 466997 469988 470978
      470967 471959 473952 477937 479922 481912 486906 493902
      496897 499890 499883 499862 499855 497849 495841 483804
      480795 479787 479768 481738 478711
 0.25 520245 522236 523227 523216 522207 521203 517195 511185
      506179 504171 502166 500163 496159 485157 481157 478159
      476167 474170 471176 474180 473184 469195 466198 463200
      459199 457198 458191 461187 465182 466175 464174 461174
      459177 451183 446191 446195 446198 447205 444211 437214
      435217 431220 425223 420229 413237 412239 413243 418249
      423251 428252 443252 452251 461250 468248 474244 483242
      488243 492245 507259 508259 512258 518249 520245
 0.25 362768 356767 351770 346776 341782 336787 330791 326792
      324788 321785 309786 301787 295786 283785 271784 259785
      251787 245792 244795 245799 247807 255816 262820 267821
      278825 284825 289822 295817 300814 307812 314811 326811
      333811 340809 345804 349799 352800 356798 359792 357790
      357787 357785 359777 362768
 0.25 345835 342836 343838 345835 345835
 0.50 469713 467703 464694 460690 456688 452687 448684 442678
      439676 435678 434684 434690 434697 435710 434717 433722
      421726 421734 424741 425747 422758 422763 424768 428776
      431779 433786 433794 431800 429810 429820 432823 434824
      443824 446827 446833 447843 450851 461873 462878 459883
      454888 452893 474910 475894 476891 479890 483891 486891
      487889 489882 491869 492864 491858 489847 484831 479817
      474804 471794 470788 468771 468764 467757 468749 469744
      471736 471728 469713
 0.50 513237 516224 517217 516210 511193 504178 500168 497165
      493163 486170 484176 482178 482187 482194 481200 477207
      474209 471209 468218 471222 475223 483224 488226 492229
      497236 502240 506243 511241 513237
 0.50 459241 459228 459224 457222 454218 446217 440216 437219
      433222 429228 429235 425236 420237 417240 421245 423247
      432248 441247 450246 459241
 0.50 462958 461941 460924 459916 456914 456917 455922 454930
      451942 449953 446966 445978 446986 447992 450995 453993
      457989 459984 462971 462958
 0.50 423862 423854 422847 420843 418844 403854 398858 393859
      384863 375867 369872 356883 344894 332905 322916 316930
      309945 309951 311957 314964 314970 316974 320979 328985
      334986 339985 344983 349978 354971 358964 364949 372935
      376927 381921 387913 393907 400902 406896 410889 414881
      416872 421865 423862
 0.50 316801 312795 308791 295790 281789 269789 263790 256793
      252798 251804 252808 257813 263816 268818 273820 279822
      285818 288811 292810 296808 304806 316801
 1.00 506225 508221 507216 504211 501205 500200 499195 496191
      494189 490193 489202 487206 486207 483209 485212 488215
      493219 496223 500228 501228 506225
 1.00 460725 460720 460716 457710 450707 447706 443709 440716
      440723 439727 435737 438742 441747 445748 449742 453746
      449755 444763 440771 440778 441784 442791 450795 453797
      457797 457795 456791 455785 455780 457775 458768 457765
      458758 457756 456748 455746 457743 459742 460739 460725
 1.00 484863 483860 481860 481855 481851 480847 477843 477844
      475849 477853 478856 480860 481862 482864 484866 484863
 1.00 446224 445223 442222 441223 441226 444226 446224
 1.00 431244 430242 427240 424242 427245 429245 431244
 1.00 400874 395872 389872 382874 375877 368880 365883 357892
      354897 348901 338908 330915 327919 325925 324932 323937
      322944 322948 323952 328965 330972 333975 339977 342976
      347972 350968 356956 361945 366936 370925 375912 381903
      397883 400874
 1.50 374898 374891 371890 366891 363894 355907 350910 346911
      339915 334922 333930 329938 328942 329948 336963 338966
      342967 349961 353956 356949 363934 365924 368917 372908
      374898 374898
 2.00 368907 366904 364906 362909 363912 365912 365911 367909
      368907
 2.00 359931 355928 349923 346926 344929 340935 338942 335942
      334944 337946 340952 340959 342961 346959 349954 353948
      356942 359934 359931

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 508660 503648 497637 494634 491629 483626 454597 437602
      432605 432606 428618 415649 420660 424667 426675 428687
      429694 429702 429704 426706 421710 417709 413712 412717
      409720 408724 409728 408733 405739 400745 397748 396753
      393761 387766 385770 383771 377771 374769 371770 364766
      360760 363753 364748 361746 354739 348735 337741 330748
      314749 299748 292748 285748 272747 259744 252742 247738
      237739 231742 226747 226756 225759 225763 228767 231768
      243773 250776 253777 255778 253780 247785 243791 239796
      237803 238810 239816 241819 256820 272826 278828 287829
      294831 300830 312839 326846 326850 323852 318858 311873
      306882 301884 299887 291902 289909 289914 288917 289925
      288932 287953 285962 285967 282969 277973 275981 276985
      278985 289985 292987 295991 299992 310975 314967 318960
      321952 324945 329940 334934 337928 344924 375907 394904
      399904 404908 410914 416919 421925 422932 421939 415940
      410941 410945 411958 411964 410968 413976 417983 418987
      422988 426992 427999 428002 433001 442999 447995 450991
      453989 456985 461975 466966 466955 467951 467943 469939
      470933 474912 473898 474894 473885 477864 483845 488819
      491809 490804 491799 493794 496750 498741 499729 501723
      503718 506707 508695 509689 509681 508660
 0.01 522260 523254 522249 521238 518214 516204 514193 514189
      513182 514177 516173 518171 521172 526174 528170 528164
      525157 522147 519135 517129 513123 510121 508118 505116
      502113 499103 494094 491093 488090 480088 472087 465088
      461093 458094 456092 453084 448075 447072 445068 438067
      435068 435072 436084 432087 428087 424088 424090 427097
      430099 428104 426104 423107 426108 429112 432112 437114
      439116 441119 442124 441129 439132 436141 436145 438150
      436161 431164 425170 423178 423182 425185 427194 427201
      425206 421214 416221 414223 412229 408235 406240 404245
      402247 396251 392251 389254 386262 384264 385266 385276
      391286 395289 396292 403295 422302 434299 446297 452295
      458296 462297 467296 473292 485289 491284 496282 511273
      517267 522260
 0.01 410060 410056 404056 399053 396050 392048 389046 386048
      384052 378053 375054 378057 381058 387058 392059 395062
      401063 407061 410060
 0.01 296018 295014 292012 289012 285014 281015 276015 274013
      273010 270007 264005 254000 245992 241988 235986 232991
      235996 244004 253012 257016 262019 268021 275022 282023
      290022 296018
 0.25 497680 492670 487662 485659 480654 475651 471650 466647
      451628 447625 442624 435626 431631 428637 427643 426649
      427657 431665 438676 442679 445680 447683 449692 449696
      446703 441708 437713 435719 434724 432728 430733 429740
      426747 423752 421757 422764 423771 423778 421781 419784
      416784 410776 405775 401779 395789 392792 387796 382796
      376798 372801 367807 362814 359823 358827 355827 352827
      346829 342833 340837 338841 340847 345846 354843 357841
      360836 362833 365833 369834 371830 376827 379823 385818
      388818 390820 392823 393827 391830 389831 384834 378841
      367849 359857 353866 352872 354876 352879 347886 346890
      346895 346899 348901 351901 360897 374892 383887 389885
      392884 395881 395868 393864 389862 388859 390858 394855
      400853 402854 402858 401864 404866 409869 412873 415880
      416888 417894 419899 423912 427916 431919 438922 442922
      448920 450915 451909 453892 456879 459867 460852 462842
      465830 472807 475794 477779 479766 482755 490728 494718
      497703 498695 498689 497680
 0.25 512237 512231 511220 509204 509194 508188 506180 505174
      506169 508160 512158 513153 511149 507142 493122 489120
      485121 474116 464110 459107 456106 452109 453120 454138
      454142 455148 456155 455160 454168 461166 464161 466157
      468157 473162 475167 478173 480181 482193 482199 481204
      477210 475216 480221 481227 479230 474233 469232 461233
      456232 452231 452228 453224 456224 459222 460218 450219
      442219 437221 430224 424227 422229 421233 419241 422246
      429248 431250 433257 438262 446270 455277 459278 462277
      468275 473273 476267 480262 484260 491257 500250 508244
      512237
 0.25 419818 418815 418814 415815 414817 413820 411822 414824
      417822 419820 419818
 0.25 350747 348746 344746 338749 335753 329760 326764 323766
      292763 284761 275760 267758 260756 253754 246753 241752
      240755 239759 237761 243764 252766 265770 272776 275779
      275783 274786 269789 263791 261794 263797 261800 260805
      260809 262812 268818 276821 279821 285820 289816 291814
      296806 303803 313804 322804 325801 326796 327793 330788
      338781 344766 350755 351750 350747
 0.25 333857 334853 332852 329854 326855 326856 326860 328861
      330860 333857 333857
 0.25 325901 324895 322892 319889 317888 314890 310895 303904
      299911 300921 302933 303937 306941 312939 314936 316932
      319930 322925 323919 323908 325904 325901
 0.50 486695 480681 470671 462662 455647 451643 446641 436639
      434644 434651 434657 435661 439661 444664 455668 459672
      461681 463688 466696 469700 470704 468707 461712 454716
      449720 446723 445727 440738 437750 435765 433791 434799
      434804 433806 430813 429820 427826 424832 421836 419842
      419856 420860 422864 424869 423877 424884 428887 434886
      439882 443877 445870 447862 449855 451850 455840 457834
      458827 461811 464800 467785 469772 471764 473757 476746
      481731 485721 486711 486699 486695
 0.50 505225 506221 505216 505210 505192 501168 502160 503152
      504149 504145 501141 495134 487126 478121 466120 464119
      461122 459127 460134 466134 469136 472136 472141 468143
      466148 470154 476160 481170 484183 485187 486197 484206
      482209 481212 481215 485219 487224 489230 493230 498230
      505225
 0.50 467239 465237 461235 453235 446234 439235 436236 433240
      433241 435245 437252 439255 442257 450263 456266 456262
      454257 453252 455247 458245 463242 467239
 0.50 338762 335761 330765 326771 324774 320773 314770 307768
      300768 286767 284768 284773 282779 283789 283792 279795
      277797 279799 283801 287799 293798 295796 298799 300798
      305799 313799 318796 323791 328783 333777 337770 338762
 0.50 315924 312921 309925 310928 313929 314927 315924 315924
 1.00 501186 500180 498174 495162 493157 490153 488147 486141
      483134 481132 479133 480138 483142 484147 485154 484165
      486174 490188 493194 498190 501186
 1.00 452767 450763 447765 446770 445775 445777 445780 446783
      449781 451777 451776 452771 452769 452767
 1.00 453811 452807 450803 449802 446804 445806 444808 443811
      443815 443816 443820 443824 444828 446828 448826 449826
      450822 451820 452815 453811
 1.50 496176 495175 493171 492170 492171 491175 492180 495178
      496176

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 508643 503631 498619 492607 488601 486599 481595 477594
      475596 471595 467595 464597 460596 456601 453604 452610
      450613 451616 451621 452639 451643 447646 442643 431630
      426634 425636 423640 419644 415652 406660 401662 398661
      394661 388665 384669 383672 376678 371684 362692 357698
      350703 335714 319724 311729 306733 298738 291740 282744
      280747 276751 273753 270757 265761 259758 253754 243749
      231745 229746 225744 226747 230751 232755 236759 240768
      245774 247779 250780 252786 251789 251793 248796 247804
      250809 252811 254814 257816 267822 276831 287837 296847
      299851 300854 299861 292894 285905 288912 291921 295940
      292945 290952 289956 296959 301960 306952 310948 315945
      319946 322952 323957 324965 330971 335968 331957 329954
      328947 328941 328938 328929 329920 330913 330907 331903
      332884 333881 332875 333871 334865 337849 339834 340828
      341824 343821 346819 352818 354822 354824 346841 348845
      352846 353851 351854 351859 349866 356868 359865 362861
      371847 375841 381840 384843 384849 385855 386861 385868
      387876 388882 386886 388897 389901 392905 393908 396910
      404908 411910 412905 413901 410886 409883 406879 406875
      408873 413871 418873 425874 432875 435874 437871 443866
      448859 451855 454851 458842 468827 477810 480800 486790
      489780 493770 495762 497748 501730 505710 506688 508643
 0.01 525252 527237 526229 527220 529212 533207 534203 535195
      534180 533177 532170 535165 535159 534155 535152 538152
      538147 536141 533136 529132 523124 517113 512104 507096
      500076 490056 488050 485043 483039 480037 472076 466083
      463086 457088 454089 448090 444091 445095 445102 441104
      437103 434104 446115 441122 438127 437134 433144 435153
      440159 446161 448165 449169 453175 454176 454172 453168
      454162 462160 472157 477159 480162 486171 490174 492178
      496180 499183 503186 505190 514210 517223 518227 516230
      514227 502211 497202 494199 493196 490196 480195 472197
      465204 462210 457209 448204 445196 442193 437193 434195
      432200 430213 427218 425224 424227 422228 417228 414231
      413235 425251 428253 433255 436258 439259 441265 444268
      450277 457284 462288 467290 479296 484297 487297 496298
      503295 509290 511283 509278 509274 512272 514270 518273
 0.01 397005 396997 395989 392983 388981 383971 377961 375956
      372952 368947 366948 363953 361958 360963 358969 341975
      333980 329983 323984 318992 309998 303001 299003 298008
      296011 292013 285015 281017 276016 268012 261007 254002
      250010 249018 248021 252029 258035 260039 266041 268046
      268052 271054 274052 280051 284049 291047 294051 296053
      301050 310046 330039 342038 346035 352034 360030 362028
      365029 368033 372036 375036 377032 383028 387024 391017
      397005
 0.25 495650 494640 492637 489635 480635 474641 470648 466653
      461658 457660 452664 448669 442674 437678 433683 427690
      421699 420713 417718 413725 405734 387748 384752 379756
      370758 365758 361756 361751 362745 367734 373725 378720
      384715 389713 394709 396703 396699 394691 390688 387688
      381692 377695 361714 348730 338738 334741 331746 323764
      318773 315777 310779 301781 297785 298790 300794 303796
      309797 312796 315794 319789 325787 331787 336788 336792
      335794 333800 330804 323812 321816 320820 322827 324826
      329820 335812 339808 343808 354806 366802 371802 375803
      377810 380813 385815 394816 403818 412822 414825 413829
      414835 416844 422854 425856 427855 432852 437844 444832
      446830 450832 451834 454834 458829 462817 460811 457813
      448813 449809 451802 460784 462773 463764 463757 461748
      462741 465736 467729 472707 482697 487694 491692 493689
      494682 494668 495650
 0.25 523168 525155 523145 518129 514120 511114 502103 499100
      494100 488104 479112 475113 471112 465109 460111 458113
      456118 448130 439140 439145 443150 449149 454147 465139
      473128 475128 477130 480138 481142 481147 485153 504178
      511191 514197 516198 518197 519191 518182 518176 523168
 0.25 498269 497261 501256 502251 502245 499237 496232 492227
      489225 485227 480228 468229 462230 458236 457241 459248
      461263 463269 469274 477276 481274 487272 494272 498269
 0.25 485214 488210 486206 483209 483214 485215 485214
 0.25 384991 384988 383985 382984 380981 379980 377978 376976
      375978 376982 377983 378985 379988 380990 383991 383992
      384991
 0.25 358002 358995 357991 354988 349986 343989 338990 335994
      338997 341997 344997 347000 350004 356004 358002
 0.25 301770 300770 297768 294769 294770 294773 296773 298773
      301771 301770
 0.50 488657 487651 484648 480651 476655 469661 461666 456670
      451678 449681 448686 448692 441701 436706 429714 425719
      421725 414733 402743 396749 393755 390764 385768 383771
      384776 388782 394784 398779 401775 406774 413772 420772
      427771 431768 434764 439757 448746 455738 460731 463723
      465716 467707 469698 479686 482683 486674 488657
 0.50 521158 520153 518144 514133 509123 503113 499110 496113
      493121 490125 489130 484134 483138 484143 485147 488152
      491156 493158 499163 506174 509179 512181 514175 514166
      521158
 0.50 492253 494249 493244 490239 488237 484237 478238 475238
      470241 467244 466248 467252 467257 468262 471265 474266
      477265 476260 477256 479256 485256 488255 492253
 0.50 453779 451776 450777 448779 448782 450784 452782 453779
 0.50 461131 460129 457129 455130 457132 460132 461131
 0.50 445146 446142 445141 442141 444145 445146 445146
 0.50 371778 369774 365774 359774 354777 351781 348784 345788
      344792 348793 351794 356792 361789 367786 369783 371778
 0.50 354737 352737 350738 347739 345741 342743 340745 339746
      338749 337751 337753 336755 337758 339759 342758 344757
      347755 348752 349752 350748 350747 350744 351742 353739
      354737
 1.00 464688 463688 461691 460691 461692 464690 464688
 1.00 461700 461695 459695 455700 448709 440716 435728 431736
      427747 428755 432752 435747 437742 440739 444734 449732
      453731 455728 458721 459716 460706 461700
 1.00 509147 509146 508142 506139 504138 502141 501145 503148
      506150 509148 509147
 1.00 495149 494148 491146 488146 488148 491150 494149 495149

$$