Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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279
FNUS71 KCTP 020837
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 086...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
437 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0400 EDT on May 02.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
A near carbon copy of Wednesday`s weather is in store for
the District today with abundant sunshine and dry weather.

MinRH is forecast to drop to 25-35% during the afternoon
hours today with West-Northwest winds averaging 5 to 10 mph.

Sunshine Friday morning will be followed by increasing clouds
during the afternoon and nighttime hours.

Showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely
later Friday night and Saturday and continuing through
the weekend.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 49.
Max Humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 7 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................4.

TIME (EDT)          4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  22  19
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1
Temp..............  56  54
RH................  74  83
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  2   2
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  7   8
LVORI.............  5   5
ADI...............  4   4
Haines Index......  5   5

.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 74.
Min Humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................16 to 27.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  20  22  21  19  17  15  15  15  8   9   8   8
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  52  50  54  57  60  64  67  70  72  73  74  74
RH................  86  86  77  69  62  54  47  41  38  35  34  33
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  3   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   5   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   7   8   8   8   10  10  10  10  10  8   8
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.5 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.7
Transp Wind Dir...  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  9   9   12  10  10  12  10  10  9   10  10  9
LVORI.............  5   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  16  16  16  27  27  27  25  25  25  27  27  27
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 50.
Max Humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 8 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  7   7   7   11  16  20  21  22  23  27  30  33
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  73  70  65  61  58  56  54  53  53  52  52  51
RH................  35  39  46  53  62  66  69  71  69  71  71  74
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT Wind Gust...  7   7   7   6   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  3.1 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  9   8   7   8   7   7   7   7   8   8   9   9
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1500, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1700, then 16-25 strikes.
Max Temperature.....Around 81.
Min Humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 to 32.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  36  40  43  46  50  54  55  56  57  61  65  70
Weather Cov.......                                      SCH SCH CHC
Weather Type......                                      RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........                                      SCH SCH CHC
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   4
Temp..............  50  51  56  61  66  71  74  77  80  81  81  80
RH................  80  83  72  65  58  53  50  45  42  41  42  44
20 FT Wind Dir....  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  3   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   10  10  10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.0 3.3 4.6 5.8 5.5 5.2 4.9
Transp Wind Dir...  SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
Transp Wind Spd...  10  10  8   10  10  12  10  10  9   9   10  10
LVORI.............  4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
ADI...............  9   9   9   22  22  22  30  30  30  32  32  32
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Lambert
Requested by...Shawn Perkins
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412951.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shperkins@pa.gov