706
FNUS53 KDTX 070707
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
307 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will depart to the east today. Dry air
will hold on across the area into early afternoon. An approaching
warm front will then cause humidity values to increase and will
support numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms this evening.
Warmer and drier air will then advance into the area for Wednesday.
A low pressure system will bring the next chance for rain to the
area Thursday. Northeast winds on Thursday will contribute to much
cooler temperatures.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-072115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
307 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms after 2 pm
                    until 5 pm, then numerous showers and
                    scattered thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 15 to
                    20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3510-4010 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (726).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms until 11 pm,
                    then scattered showers until 2 am. Chance
                    of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......510-710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (40).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6270-6770 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1589).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-072115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
307 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms after 5 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 15 to
                    20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3350-3850 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (673).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms until 11 pm,
                    then scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....48-54.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6590-7090 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1832).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-072115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
307 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms after 2 pm
                    until 5 pm, then numerous showers and
                    scattered thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming southeast 10 to
                    15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2930-3430 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph becoming southeast 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (564).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms until 11 pm,
                    then scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming west in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west 20
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7210-7710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (2094).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the upper 60s.

$$

SC