Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
254
FNUS54 KEPZ 112016
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
216 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
.DISCUSSION...
West flow 15 to 25 mph on Sunday combined with min RH 6-12%,
leading to Elevated fire danger. No fire headlines expected at
this time as winds remain just below critical thresholds.
Excellent smoke ventilation beginning after 12PM, with transport
due east. Lighter afternoon winds Monday and Tuesday as
temperatures warm. Ventilation remains Very Good due to high
mixing heights. Slight chance of thunder over the New Mexico
forests on Thursday, which poses a threat of dry lightning.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-121245-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
216 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....35-39.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* 24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph becoming
northwest around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....62-67.
* Below 7500 ft....72-77.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....15-19 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....12-16 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 13300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (246500 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....40-45.
* Below 7500 ft....46-51.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....66-71.
* Below 7500 ft....75-80.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....15-17 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....12-16 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......11700 ft AGL increasing to 14400 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (177300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-121245-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
216 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....47-51.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph becoming
northwest around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....78-82.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (244700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....49-53.
* Max humidity........26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....82-86.
* Min humidity........9-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......10100 ft AGL increasing to 15400 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (192300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-121245-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
216 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....48-53.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........34-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......33 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph becoming
northwest around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....79-84.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........7-11 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......10100 ft AGL increasing to 14800 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (285300 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....50-55.
* Max humidity........32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* Min humidity........9-13 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL increasing to 15400 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (172500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-121245-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
216 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....37-42.
* Below 7500 ft....42-47.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds around 20 mph becoming
west around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....60-65.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....16-20 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....14-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (314100 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....39-44.
* Below 7500 ft....44-49.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....54-59 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Northwest winds around 20 mph
decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....63-68.
* Below 7500 ft....72-77.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL increasing to 13700 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (149600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-121245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
216 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....54-58.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........22-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......49 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-85.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........7-12 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (277400 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-59.
* Max humidity........21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-88.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 15700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (183900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.
West winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-121245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
216 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....51-55.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........46-51 percent.
* 24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....79-84.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (289700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....52-56.
* Max humidity........23-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* Min humidity........9-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL increasing to 15500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (182500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
Dennhardt