Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
102 FNUS74 KEPZ 011933 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Collins Park RX...GIla National Forest National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 133 PM MDT Wed May 1 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on May 01. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Winds will remain steady out of the west today with some gusts getting up to 20mph, especially above the tree canopy. Winds will stay consistent through sunset but will become light and variable overnight. RH values continue to be in the teens with recovery up into the 30-40% range overnight. Winds look to be slightly lower tomorrow than today, about 5 mph on average with RH also expected to be slightly above average as well. Ventilation rates will be favorable through the evening, but will drop overnight into poor conditions. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........11 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 20 mph increasing to around 22 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (46200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (142700 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (181000 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Sky (%).........1 1 5 4 4 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 Temp............54 63 68 71 71 RH..............27 17 13 11 12 20 ft wind......SW 8 W 8 W 12 SW 14 SW 15 20 ft wind gust.16 12 22 25 26 Mix hgt (ft)....3600 7300 7300 8300 8300 Transport wind..W 15 W 20 W 22 W 25 W 25 Haines index....3 4 5 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..46 143 143 181 181 Ventrate Cat....FAIR VYGD VYGD EXNT EXNT .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 40. Max humidity........48 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 14 mph with gusts to around 24 mph becoming light. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 12 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (161100 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (5900 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........4 4 4 2 2 3 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............68 57 51 47 44 41 RH..............14 23 29 36 40 44 20 ft wind......W 12 W 11 W 8 W 5 W 5 W 4 20 ft wind gust.24 24 18 10 10 9 Mix hgt (ft)....7700 7700 600 600 500 500 Transport wind..W 18 W 18 W 13 W 13 W 12 W 12 Haines index....4 3 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..161 161 6 6 6 6 Ventrate Cat....EXNT EXNT POOR POOR POOR POOR .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 69. Min humidity........14 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 6 to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 10 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (37100 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (125300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........3 1 5 10 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............40 53 63 68 RH..............48 31 18 14 20 FT wind......W 3G6 NW 6G12 W 9G16 W 10G18 Mix hgt (ft)....3700 3700 9100 10300 Transport wind..NW 10 NW 10 W 10 W 12 Haines index....2 2 4 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..37 37 80 125 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD VYGD $$ Forecaster...BARHAM Requested by...Silver City Dispatch Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412708.2/EPZ .DELDT 05/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov