Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
661
FNUS53 KGRR 101952
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
352 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
...Showers moving through tonight...
.DISCUSSION...
Rain showers will sweep through the area tonight. Amounts will be on
the order of a tenth or two. We dry out for Saturday afternoon into
Saturday night. A warming trend will start on Sunday.
MIZ037>039-043>045-110815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
352 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 11 PM, then rain showers
until 5 AM, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 9 mph shifting to the
west overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2400-2900
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....230-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.18 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 PM, then
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4300-4800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....910-1350 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....36-41.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 7 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 300-800 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft
AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-480 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent near Lake Michigan and 38-43
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 13
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3000-3500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 25
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....630-940 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-110815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
352 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 AM, then
cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
after 11 PM until 2 AM, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-250 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.21 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....54-59.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
around 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph increasing to around 30
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....930-1310 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....35-40.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-590 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph increasing to southwest
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....620-940 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-110815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
352 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
after 11 PM until 5 AM. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after 2 AM until 5 AM, then a
chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent near Lake Michigan and 81-86
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
24 hr trend......
20-foot winds.......South winds around 9 mph shifting to the west
around 12 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....160-180 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.17 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 5 PM, then
sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....56-61.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to
around 27 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1030-1340 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 7 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1700-2200
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-280 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5800-6300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....820-1160 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-110815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
352 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 AM, then
cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
after 11 PM until 2 AM, then a slight chance of
thunderstorms until 5 AM. Rain showers after 2
AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-210 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.16 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms until 11 AM. Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
around 29 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1060-1420 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 41.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-560 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....660-920 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-110815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
352 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms after 2 AM until 5 AM. Rain
showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.19 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms until 5 PM. Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 29
mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1180-1390 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 80 (poor)
overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL increasing to 6200-6700 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph increasing to southwest
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....770 (excellent) increasing to 1450 (excellent)
in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest
winds 8 to 13 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 9 to 14 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Partly
cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
8 to 13 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds 8 to 13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds 9 to
14 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
60s.
$$