Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
000
FNUS52 KILM 251952
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Cool and dry high pressure will build in through early this
week with a return to more seasonable temperatures by Tuesday.
Rain chances will return with the next cold front Wednesday
into Thursday. Dry high pressure will build in behind the cold
front into Friday with a warming trend through the weekend.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-261200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            40
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          37           70           49           72
Max/Min RH (%)        93           52           100          64
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  4        NE  4        SE  4        E  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        E  4         E  4         SE  7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Begin                                                 8 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         41/0600      2000         59/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Haines Index          4            4            4            2
DSI                                1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2600                      2300
Transport Wind (mph)               SE  6                     S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 15600                     29900
ADI Early             34 Fair      12 Poor      14 Gen Poor  22 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor  6 Very Poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            5            6            8
Max LVORI Late        5            3            8            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            E            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Partly cloudy with showers likely.
Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of
showers 60 percent. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-261200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            60
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          39           69           50           72
Max/Min RH (%)        89           42           99           67
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      NE  4        Lgt/Var      SE  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        Lgt/Var      SE  5        SE  8 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.21
Precip Duration                                              4
Precip Begin                                                 6 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         40/0600      1900         57/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2900                      2400
Transport Wind (mph)               S  8                      S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 23200                     36000
ADI Early             40 Fair      15 Gen Poor  22 Fair      26 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  27 Fair      8 Poor       31 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            5            5            8
Max LVORI Late        5            2            7            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-261200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            50
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          41           68           53           72
Max/Min RH (%)        91           54           99           73
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  E  4         NE  4        SE  5        SE  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   E  4         E  5         SE  5        SE  8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.15
Precip Duration                                              2
Precip Begin                                                 8 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         48/0900      2000         63/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
DSI                                1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2600                      2400
Transport Wind (mph)               SE  9                     S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 23400                     36000
ADI Early             36 Fair      18 Gen Poor  21 Fair      30 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  27 Fair      8 Poor       30 Fair
Max LVORI Early       5            5            6            7
Max LVORI Late        5            3            7            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-261200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            20           70
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          41           69           53           73
Max/Min RH (%)        91           48           99           76
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      E  5         SE  5        SE  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   E  4         SE  5        SE  6        S  8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.36
Precip Duration                                 1            4
Precip Begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         42/0600      2000         61/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
DSI                                1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3500                      2200
Transport Wind (mph)               S 13                      S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 45500                     35200
ADI Early             43 Gen Good  18 Gen Poor  31 Fair      32 Fair
ADI Late              8 Poor       43 Gen Good  9 Poor       32 Fair
Max LVORI Early       5            5            5            8
Max LVORI Late        5            2            8            4
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.