Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 251952
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Cool and dry high pressure will build in through early this
week with a return to more seasonable temperatures by Tuesday.
Rain chances will return with the next cold front Wednesday
into Thursday. Dry high pressure will build in behind the cold
front into Friday with a warming trend through the weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-261200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 40
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 37 70 49 72
Max/Min RH (%) 93 52 100 64
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 NE 4 SE 4 E 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 E 4 E 4 SE 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 41/0600 2000 59/1000
Dispersion Poor Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 2
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 2300
Transport Wind (mph) SE 6 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 15600 29900
ADI Early 34 Fair 12 Poor 14 Gen Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 22 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 5 6 8
Max LVORI Late 5 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Partly cloudy with showers likely.
Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of
showers 60 percent. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-261200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 60
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 39 69 50 72
Max/Min RH (%) 89 42 99 67
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var SE 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 SE 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 40/0600 1900 57/0900
Dispersion Poor Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 2400
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 23200 36000
ADI Early 40 Fair 15 Gen Poor 22 Fair 26 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 27 Fair 8 Poor 31 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 8
Max LVORI Late 5 2 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-261200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 50
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 41 68 53 72
Max/Min RH (%) 91 54 99 73
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 4 NE 4 SE 5 SE 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 E 5 SE 5 SE 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 48/0900 2000 63/1000
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 4 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 2400
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 23400 36000
ADI Early 36 Fair 18 Gen Poor 21 Fair 30 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 27 Fair 8 Poor 30 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6 7
Max LVORI Late 5 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-261200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 70
Precip Type None None Showers Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 3
Min/Max Temp 41 69 53 73
Max/Min RH (%) 91 48 99 76
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 SE 5 SE 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 SE 5 SE 6 S 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.36
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 42/0600 2000 61/1000
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 4 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 2200
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45500 35200
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor 31 Fair 32 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 43 Gen Good 9 Poor 32 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 8
Max LVORI Late 5 2 8 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$