Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
025 FXUS62 KKEY 040238 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1038 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 932 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 Currently - A rather complicated multi-lobed high complex blankets is spread across the eastern United States and the adjacent Atlantic. This is driving moderate to fresh northeast to easterly breezes across the Keys and surrounding waters. Meanwhile, a relatively narrow upper ridge is aligned along the Atlantic coast. This evenings sounding indicated a backing lower level profile and poor moisture content. Precipitable water was just above one inch with virtually zero inhibition, while surface dew points are around 70. As a result, all shower activity this evening has been located along lee side boundaries emanating off of South Florida and Andros Island. None of this activity has been anywhere near the island chain. The healthy flow has slowed night time cooling and temperatures remain near 80. Short Term Update - The previously mentioned high complex will move towards consolidation through the overnight period consolidate some with little movement. Expect northeast to easterly breezes to moderate some through the night. With that said, the steady flow will all but ensure slightly above normal overnight lows and dew points will remain near 70. A few showers cannot be ruled out as lower level moisture is expected to increase slightly and inhibition will remain limited at best. && .MARINE... Issued at 932 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 High pressure centered off the Carolina Coast will result in moderate to fresh easterly breezes on Keys waters. In the short term, winds are peaking now and should diminish slightly through the remainder of the night. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 932 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals overnight. Moderate easterly breezes will gradually diminish slightly through the night. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...11 Aviation/Nowcasts....11 Data Acquisition.....DR Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest