Text Products for FWS Issued by LMK

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FNUS73 KLMK 211937
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Deuchars RX...USFS
National Weather Service Louisville KY
337 PM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION... High pressure building in from the west over the region
will result in clear skies and light winds through the day. These light
winds will like impact smoke dispersal with slight improvement later
in the day as winds increase. We will remain dry Monday night into
early Tuesday but the next system will increase rain and storm chances
late Tuesday with winds becoming more out of the south.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 66.
RH..................54 percent at ignition...Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 2 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /16700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /45900 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................25 to 65.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   3   2   3   1   0   2   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  55  57  61  63  64  65  65
RH..............54  43  38  35  32  31  31  31
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 4.8 5.5 5.9 6.0 6.3 6.3 5.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   7   7   8   8   9
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............25  42  47  50  50  61  61  65
SDspl kt-ft/100017  29  33  35  36  44  44  46

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming south 5
                    to 6 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Marginal (33400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................49 early in the evening decreasing to 4 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  19  28  42  42  50  52  45  38  38  38  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  64  60  56  53  51  50  49  47  46  45  45
RH..............30  32  39  45  48  54  54  56  60  63  62  62
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............49  4   4   6   7   7   7   8   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100033  18  5   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 18 mph increasing to southwest 23
                    to 29 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (100900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (103600
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 115 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  32  29  40  51  62  62  63  63  67  71  75
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  44  46  50  55  60  63  65  66  67  68  68
RH..............65  68  65  61  55  49  46  45  45  45  43  45
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.7   8   9   11  11  13  14  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.3 3.2 3.8 4.2 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  13  14  18  23  26  28  28  26  28  29  28
LVORI...........3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............5   13  14  31  62  88  100 105 104 115 91  86
SDspl kt-ft/10003   3   6   21  46  74  91  101 104 121 134 124

$$
Forecaster...BTN
Requested by...Shawn Woodbury
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411616.0/LMK
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shawn.m.woodbury@usda.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
