889
FXUS64 KLZK 300008
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
708 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

A weak and dissipating cold front is presently located in the
northwest part of Arkansas, and will slowly make its way across much
of the state overnight. A wind shift will be barely perceptible on
this weakening front, but dewpoints will lower notably.

Showers and thunderstorms have developed along and ahead of the
front this afternoon, at present extending from north central
Arkansas into western Arkansas in a few bands.

Another point of concern tonight will be the development of fog as
the weak cold front rolls into areas that recently received rain.
With light winds and clearing skies, patchy fog will be present over
a good portion of the area, with potential dense fog in some
areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Chances for showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast at
times through the period across the state. Prior indications of at
least a couple of days of dry weather and cooler temperatures appear
more unlikely attm. At the sfc, warm/humid conditions will persist
across much of the region with above normal temperatures expected
each day.

Aloft, H500 flow will largely be out of the SW ahead of a trough
swinging across the Northern/Central Plains toward the Great Lakes.
Mid-level ridging is expected to build across the SE US which will
further influence the amplified flow across the region.

From Thu-Fri as a leading shortwave lifts north across the area,
showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop. This activity
will be aided by a cold front set to move across the state. The
front will only briefly linger before retreating back to the north.

Some additional disturbances are likely to lift north in the SW flow
aloft and help to provide periodic rain chances across the state
through the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 659 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

VFR conds should prevail through the evening hours. A broken line
of SHRA/TSRA will continue drifting to the SE ahead of a weak
boundary. Mentioned TEMPO PoPs at KLIT, otherwise confidence was
too low to include at any other site. Skies will clear overnight
and winds will become nearly calm. Given antecedent wet conds,
fog is expected to develop. Conds are expected to become MVFR/IFR
with 1/2-1SM VIS expected over much of Cntrl/Srn sites, perhaps into
Nrn sites, where winds go calm. VIS should improve after 14z/15z
on Tues.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     58  82  61  87 /  30   0   0  10
Camden AR         58  85  60  88 /  10   0   0  20
Harrison AR       53  82  59  85 /   0   0  10  10
Hot Springs AR    58  84  60  87 /  10   0   0  20
Little Rock   AR  61  85  63  89 /  20   0   0  10
Monticello AR     62  83  62  88 /  20   0   0  10
Mount Ida AR      57  85  60  87 /  10   0   0  20
Mountain Home AR  53  82  59  87 /  10   0  10  10
Newport AR        59  81  60  86 /  40   0   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     60  83  61  87 /  30   0   0  10
Russellville AR   56  84  60  88 /  10   0   0  10
Searcy AR         58  82  59  87 /  30   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      61  82  62  86 /  40   0   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...53
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...70