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000
FXUS64 KMEG 192002
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
302 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 126 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Cloudy conditions will persist through most of the weekend but
most of the rain/thunderstorms should end by Sunday afternoon. The
upcoming work week looks to start off cool but temperatures should
trend back to near normal after midweek. Rain and thunderstorms
will return to much of the region by Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 126 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Zonal flow is in place across much of the Mississippi River
Valley. A 125kt upper level jet is positioned from Missouri into
the Ohio Valley resulting in cloudy conditions across the
Midsouth. Conditions do not look to change much until late Sunday
when a very positively tilted trough swings out of the Plains.
Guidance is in fairly good agreement in bringing the trough axis
east of the Mississippi River Sunday evening which should result
in the first sighting of sunshine in several days. In the
meantime, periods of light showers and cloudy skies will
continue. A thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out, but nothing
strong or severe is expected.

High pressure will build in from the west early in the work week
resulting in warming temperatures and dry conditions. However,
before the warmer conditions arrive, Monday should be our coolest
period out of the next seven days featuring morning lows in the
upper 30s to low 40s. Patchy frost is possible in west Tennessee,
especially near the Tennessee River. High temperatures Tuesday
and Wednesday should be near normal, in the low to middle 70s.
Another cold front will usher in a chance of rain and cooler
temperatures after midweek.

30/Sirmon

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

MVFR CIGs with pockets of IFR will slowly lift through the
remainder of today, eventually reaching VFR by this evening.
Overrunning precipitation should develop tonight and dissipate
shortly after sunset. Another round of rainfall looks to move into
MEM at the end of the period. Otherwise, no major aviation
concerns.

ANS

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...ANS