Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
000
FNUS54 KMEG 160948
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
448 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorm chances will continue to increase today.
Windy and gusty conditions are expected areawide, but given
increasing rain chance and saturated soils, fire weather concerns
are low. MinRH values will remain in the 40-50% range or higher.
Daily rain chances will continue through Wednesday night for brief
lull in precipitation until Thursday afternoon. Shower chances
will remain in the forecast through the weekend with drier
conditions on the horizon for early next week.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-162130-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
448 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 70 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.04 0.26 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 4 AM
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-1) 67 (+1) 84
RH % (24h trend) 50 (-5) 94 (+11) 40
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 11-15 G26 SW 11-15 G23
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 16-20 G30 S 13-17 G28 SW 10-14 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4300 4700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1400 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4600 4900
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 15 W 8
Transport Wnd (mph) S 33 W 18
Vent Index (m2/s) 21000 12000
Category Day 5 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 12 SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 27 SW 24
Dispersion Index 84 41 59
LAL 3 4 1
LASI/Haines Index 4 3 5
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 60. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
39 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-162130-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
448 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 60 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.01 0.13 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 4
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 AM
Temp (24h trend) 80 (+2) 67 (+2) 83
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-9) 97 (+8) 50
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8-12 G23 SW 8-12 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 11-15 G25 S 9-13 G25 SW 6-10 G17
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3900 3900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4100 4100
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 14 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) S 31 SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 16800 8400
Category Day 5 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 71 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 12 SW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 27 SW 20
Dispersion Index 76 34 44
LAL 3 3 1
LASI/Haines Index 4 3 5
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-162130-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
448 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 70 20
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.01 0.22 0.04
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 6 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 83 (-1) 66 (+2) 85
RH % (24h trend) 42 (-11) 93 (+6) 44
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6-10 G22 SW 10-14 G23
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 10-14 G27 S 9-13 G25 SW 10-14 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4200 4300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1400 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4600 4700
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 13 W 10
Transport Wnd (mph) S 29 W 23
Vent Index (m2/s) 18200 14000
Category Day 5 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 10 SW 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 23 SW 27
Dispersion Index 67 32 67
LAL 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 5 3 4
Stability Class B D C
Stagnation Index 2 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 60. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-162130-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
448 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 60 20
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.01
Precip Duration (hrs) 0 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 83 (0) 66 (+2) 85
RH % (24h trend) 43 (-11) 92 (+3) 49
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 7-11 G21 SW 9-13 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 11-15 G24 S 9-13 G23 SW 8-12 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3900 3800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1300 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4300 4200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 12 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) S 28 SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s) 15600 10400
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 10 SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 23 SW 23
Dispersion Index 67 34 55
LAL 2 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 4 3 4
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-162130-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
448 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 50 30
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Temp (24h trend) 81 (+3) 66 (+3) 83
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-10) 97 (+5) 58
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 7-11 G22 SW 7-11 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 10-14 G25 S 9-13 G24 SW 7-11 G17
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3800 3000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4100 3200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 12 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) S 28 SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 14400 7000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70 71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 9 SW 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 21 SW 18
Dispersion Index 67 29 37
LAL 1 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 4 3 4
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 50. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-162130-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
448 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 40 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 1
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+1) 65 (+3) 81
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-6) 96 (+4) 56
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5-9 G18 S 6-10 G18
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8-12 G21 S 7-11 G21 SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3600 2400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4100 2800
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 10 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) S 23 SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 12000 5600
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 71 69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 9 SW 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 19 SW 18
Dispersion Index 58 26 32
LAL 1 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 4 4 3
Stability Class B D C
Stagnation Index 2 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 50. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 36 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$