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000
FXUS62 KMFL 241703
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
103 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 1130 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

With the influence of upper level zonal flow over the region,
South Florida will remain in a drier and stable environment. The
sea breeze regime will influence the bubble up of afternoon
cumulus cloud coverage, but no precipitation is expected (PoPS
<10%). Afternoon temperatures are on the rise to reach temperatures
from the low 80s across the east coast into the mid 80s in the
interior and Gulf coast. Overnight lows will cool into the 60s,
while remaining around 70 degrees along the east coast.

Tomorrow`s conditions will remain relatively unchanged and heavily
influenced by high pressure & ridging. Easterly onshore flow
continues to escort mild temperatures and breezy afternoon winds.
Temperatures will be just below seasonal, similar to today, with
highs in the low to mid 80s. A slight rise in SW FL with temperatures
in the upper 80s, approaching 90.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 209 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Upper-level ridging and a prevailing surface high will dominate the
regional weather pattern, maintaining mostly dry and seasonable
conditions throughout the period. A tightened pressure gradient
near the surface will promote breezy easterly winds, particularly
along the immediate Atlantic coast where wind gusts may range from
25-30 mph at times. Isolated showers may traverse the local
Atlantic waters and the East Coast over the weekend due to low-
level moisture advection, with the Probability of Precipitation
(PoPs) limited to around 15-20%. Easterly winds will contribute to
warmer temperatures, particularly in the southwest, where
afternoon highs are anticipated to reach the mid to upper 80s.
Along the East Coast, temperatures will be moderated by the
easterly breeze, with expected highs in the low 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 100 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the 18Z TAF period. Winds
will trend easterly this afternoon with speeds 10-15 KT and
occasional gusts up to 20 KT. Gulf westerly breeze expected at
KAPF by 20Z. Light and variable winds overnight into tomorrow
morning at all TAF sites.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1130 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Hazardous marine conditions continue across the Atlantic waters,
due to a northeasterly swell and breezy winds in the wake of a
passing cold front to the northeast. Conditions are expected to
gradually taper off throughout the day resulting in seas slowly
subsiding. A persistent fetch of breezy easterly winds may allow
for hazardous marine conditions later in the week and weekend.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1130 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

A high risk for rip currents will continue across all Atlantic beaches
today and through much of the week in the presence of onshore
flow.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1130 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Minimum relative humidity values below 35 percent are possible
today and tomorrow over portions of Interior SW Florida, in
addition to the Significant Fire Potential Forecast being in the
orange category. However, winds should remain well below Red Flag
Criteria through the day as easterly flow weakens relative to
previous days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            68  82  70  81 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     64  84  65  83 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        67  84  68  83 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        67  82  68  81 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  69  81  70  80 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  68  81  70  81 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   67  85  69  84 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  65  81  67  81 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       67  82  69  81 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           67  85  67  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for FLZ168.

     High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ172-173.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Simmons
LONG TERM....SRB
AVIATION...Simmons