Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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957
FNUS74 KMOB 041044
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Rx F13...Jackson Guard
National Weather Service Mobile AL
544 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...Isolated showers and storms possible this afternoon.
Afternoon relative humidity values will remain above critical levels
today and Sunday. Transport winds will be mostly southwesterly to
southerly today and more southerly to southeasterly on Sunday.
Dispersion index values will range from fair to generally good
across the burn area today and Sunday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Areas of fog, dense in some
locations, early this morning and again late tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near possible thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...549-1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    7 to 12 mph late in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 41.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........63     54     41     33     27
Weather cov.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2
Temp............77     86     88     88     86
RH..............76     53     48     48     51
20 FT wind dir..ESE    SSE    S      SSW    SSW
20 FT wind spd..3      6      8      9      8
20 FT wind gust.6      9      15     16     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   4000   5000   4700   4000
Mix hgt (m).....550    1220   1520   1430   1220
Transp wind dir.ESE    SSW    SSW    SW     SSW
Transp wind spd.3      7      10     12     10
Trans wind dir..ESE    SSW    SSW    SW     SSW
Trans spd (m/s).1      3      4      5      4
Dispersion idx..7      26     43     40     39
LVORI...........4      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Patchy fog in the late evening and overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1219 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast
                    2 to 3 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 5 meters/second decreasing to
                    1 to 4 meters/second in the evening and
                    overnight, then shifting to the southeast
                    around 1 meters/second after 3 am.
Dispersion index....39 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........25     25     28     29     35     46
Weather cov.....S CHC         PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   FOG    FOG    FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............83     78     74     72     69     67
RH..............57     69     84     90     97     100
20 FT wind dir..SSW    SSW    S      S      SSE    ESE
20 FT wind spd..7      5      3      2      1      1
20 FT wind gust.13     9      6      3      2      2
Mix hgt (ft)....4000   400    400    400    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....1220   120    120    120    120    120
Transp wind dir.SSW    SW     SW     SSW    S      SSE
Transp wind spd.12     7      6      5      3      2
Trans wind dir..SSW    SW     SW     SSW    S      SSE
Trans spd (m/s).5      3      3      2      1      1
Dispersion idx..39     4      3      2      2      2
LVORI...........2      4      6      7      9      9

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1402 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 1 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 33.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........52     49     37     32     27     22
Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............67     70     79     85     87     86
RH..............97     90     69     53     48     50
20 FT wind dir..ESE    ESE    SE     SSE    S      S
20 FT wind spd..1      3      6      8      9      9
20 FT wind gust.3      6      9      13     15     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1000   2200   3500   4600   4100
Mix hgt (m).....120    300    670    1070   1400   1250
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     SE     SSE    S      S
Transp wind spd.3      3      7      9      12     12
Trans wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SSE    S      S
Trans spd (m/s).1      1      3      4      5      5
Dispersion idx..2      6      15     28     36     36
LVORI...........9      6      3      2      1      2

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Daniel Gualtieri
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413103.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eglinwsm@gmail.com