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000
FNUS73 KMPX 121207
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Center range north...Mn dma
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
707 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Clear skies are expected today with northwest winds
gusting up to 20 MPH through early afternoon. Winds will decrease
after 3pm. Min HR values are expected to fall into the low 30s
with high temperatures near 60.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........48 at ignition...Max 57.
RH..................54 percent at ignition...Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 14 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 13 to 15
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /83900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /125200 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  51  52  54  55  56  56  57  55  51  47  44
RH..............54  44  41  36  34  31  31  30  32  39  45  53
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..14  15  14  14  14  14  13  10  10  7   6   5
20 FT wind gust.22  22  22  21  21  21  18  16  14  10  9   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 5.2 5.8 6.0 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.7 4.7 0.7 0.6 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.25  25  24  23  23  22  20  18  16  9   7   7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........Min 34.
RH..................Max 78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    6 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (91800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph decreasing to 5 to 7 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight, then
                    shifting to the south 5 to 8 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........Max 72.
RH..................Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 16 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 12 to 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (64600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 24 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon, then
                    shifting to the west around 15 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Jason linkert rxb2
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410458.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jason.d.linkert.nfg@army.mil