National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FNUS73 KMPX 111158
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Spring Creek Prairie SNA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
658 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Northwesterly winds will be breezy today with gusts
reaching 25 knots this afternoon. However, highs will be
in the 50s, keeping relative humidities mostly above 45 percent.
Showers and perhaps a thunderstorm are also possible throughout
the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning, then chance
                    of rain showers in the afternoon. Rain showers
                    likely late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........48 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................76 percent at ignition...Min 47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 9 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 9 to 15
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /9600 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /108800 knot-ft/ increasing to
                    excellent (114100 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 23 mph increasing to 24 to 25
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  48  51  54  56  57  58  58  59  58  58  55
RH..............76  77  71  64  57  55  51  49  47  47  47  53
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  13  13  14  14  14  15  15  14  15
20 FT wind gust.17  20  20  21  21  21  22  23  24  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.6 2.1 3.2 4.6 5.3 5.4 5.7 5.4 5.5 4.0 2.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.15  20  20  21  22  22  23  23  25  24  25  25
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Rain showers
                    likely early in the evening, then chance of
                    rain showers in the evening. Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the evening.
Temperature.........Min 40.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 14 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (87900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (12200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 18 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........Max 59.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 13 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (105600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (82000
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 18 to 26 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Veserat
Requested by...Dominic Ruis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410356.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dominic.ruis@state.mn.us