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000
FXUS64 KOUN 262025
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
325 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 322 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Added 30% storm POPs into the grids across southcentral Oklahoma
for the near term through 9 PM where current Tornado Watch is in
effect. No other changes were made to the grids.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Remnant portions of the QLCS will still be lingering by Sunday
morning with damaging winds, tornadoes, and flash flooding as the
main threats. This will mainly impact portions of east central,
south central, and southeastern Oklahoma. We could see some
redevelopment Sunday afternoon across east central down to south
central and southeast Oklahoma, especially if there are any
remnant boundaries that linger from the morning convection.
Nevertheless, severe storms are still possible in the afternoon,
with hail and damaging winds being the main threat.

Daily chances of thunderstorms are possible throughout the week,
but any severe chances are uncertain at this time. A warm up is
expected through the middle of the week before a cold front moves
in during the latter part of the week and give us a brief cool
down.

Bunker

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms across north central
and northeast Texas will bring a continue chance of
thunderstorms to the DUA terminal through at least
the early to mid afternoon. Farther west, drier air is
expected to push into central parts of Oklahoma during
the early to mid afternoon. This should help
scattered MVFR ceilings at OKC/OUN/SWO.

Surface winds will back late this afternoon and evening
which will result MVFR ceilings developing this evening
into the overnight hours. CSM/WWR should be the last
sites to be impacted.  Several models develop
thunderstorms early Saturday across West Texas.  Some
of this activity may move across parts of western
and central Oklahoma by 18Z Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  66  76  59  78 /   0  80  70  30
Hobart OK         60  79  55  81 /  10  70  40  10
Wichita Falls TX  66  78  57  81 /  10  80  70  10
Gage OK           55  85  51  79 /   0  30  10  10
Ponca City OK     65  80  59  79 /   0  80  70  40
Durant OK         68  81  62  77 /  30  70  90  80

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday evening for
     OKZ020-025-026-028>032-039>043-045>048-050>052.

TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...68
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...06