Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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FNUS71 KPHI 091140
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for NJWKR Dagmar RX Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
740 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will be light today, generally around 5 mph favoring a
northwest direction this morning then shifting from the south
later in the day. Temperatures will rise in to the 70s this
afternoon with minimum relative humidity values forecast near 30%.
Chances for showers increase overnight to near 50% by Wednesday
morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind shift..........No significant wind shift is forecast,
                    however light northwest winds will shift from
                    the south later today.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (35700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 51 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  31  34  41  34  42  35  30  37  46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  54  59  64  67  70  72  74  74  73
RH..............71  65  56  50  46  40  37  34  33  33
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   N   N   N   NW  NW  N   E   SE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.3   5   5   7   7   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 1.3 1.8 3.1 4.3 5.1 5.6 5.8 5.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   7   7   8   8   7   6   6
ADI.............6   8   14  17  27  44  51  48  41  40
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   5   9   11  18  30  36  34  29  28
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers overnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light, then becoming east
                    around 5 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................5 to 18.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54  58  63  52  62  72  72  73  78  80  83  86
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  30  30  30  50
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  30  30  30  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  68  65  61  58  56  54  53  52  51  50  48
RH..............37  43  47  55  59  62  66  70  71  74  77  82
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   E   NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..5   6   9   9   7   6   6   5   5   5   7   5
20 FT wind gust.8   10  13  14  12  10  9   8   8   7   9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   7   13  13  13  12  10  9   8   7   8   8
ADI.............18  5   11  11  8   8   7   6   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  5   5   6   6   6   5   4   4   3   4   5
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
CWR.................50 percent decreasing to 40 percent early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    7 to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000 knot-ft).
ADI.................5 to 19.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  88  92  96  96  96  95  92  90  88  88  88
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50  50  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  48  48  49  50  52  53  54  55  56  57  58
RH..............82  83  83  83  83  83  80  79  79  77  77  76
20 FT wind dir..E   NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   5   6   5   5   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   8   12  9   9   10  9   9   9   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   10  10  10  9   10  9   8   8   7   7
ADI.............5   9   16  19  19  16  19  17  15  15  15  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   7   11  13  13  11  13  11  10  10  10  10
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...Staarmann
Requested by...Tomas Liogys
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410017.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tomas_liogys@fws.gov
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