633
FNUS75 KREV 040305
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Mill Canyon...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
805 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 PDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* A quick-hitting cold storm will bring strong winds, rain and
  snow, as well as cooler temperatures through tonight. Winds
  will rapidly increase from the south-southwest this morning
  bringing very strong gusts approaching 75 mph in the late
  morning.

* Rain will turn to snow after 1400 PDT with total snowfall
  accumulations of 1 to 3" possible through midnight. Light
  snow showers are expected through Sunday morning.

* Beyond Sunday, there will be a slow warming trend with low
  chances for precipitation.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain likely in the late morning
                    changing to snow after 1400 PDT.
Temperature.........42 at ignition...Max 49-52.
RH..................57% at ignition...Min 43-48%.
20-Foot Winds.......Winds south at 30 mph with gusts to 45 mph
                    at ignition increasing to 45-50 mph with gusts
                    70-75 mph by 1100 PDT. Winds will gradually
                    taper through the afternoon but will remain
                    elevated from the south around 30-35 mph with
                    gusts 50-60 mph.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....5% increasing to 75% in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl at ignition increasing to 2900-3900 ft
                    agl in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport Winds.....South around 35 mph becoming southwest and
                    increasing to 45-50 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Ventilation.........Marginal increasing to excellent in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Snow
                    showers likely in the evening, then slight
                    chance of snow showers overnight.
Temperature.........Min 20-23.
RH..................Max 57-62%.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 15-25 mph with gusts to around
                    40 mph decreasing from the southwest 15-20 mph
                    with gusts to around 35 mph overnight.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....55% decreasing to 10% overnight.
Mixing Height.......900-1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 25-30 mph decreasing to around 20 mph
                    after 0300 PDT.
Ventilation.........Good in the evening becoming marginal overnight.
Haines Index........2.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Max 40-43.
RH..................Min 28-33%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 15-20 mph with gusts to around
                    30 mph becoming west 10-15 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....5%.
Mixing Height.......5600-6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15-20 mph shifting to the northwest in the
                    afternoon.
Ventilation.........Marginal in the morning becoming very good in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3.

$$
Forecaster...Johnston
Requested by...Dejon Clay
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413112.0/REV
.DELDT 05/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jason.lyons@usda.gov