Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 121730
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1230 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2014

VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING DUE TO THE
SURFACE FRONT REMAINING NORTH OF THE TERMINALS WHILE MID LEVEL
RIDGING SITS OVERHEAD. THE NAM AND GFS SHOW A DECENT BAND OF MID
LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS COLLOCATED WITH SOME SATURATION DIRECTLY BEHIND
THE SURFACE FRONT. BECAUSE OF THIS THINK HIGH BASED SCT SH AND
EMBEDDED TS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY AS IT
MOVES SOUTH LATE TONIGHT. THEREFORE HAVE MAINTAINED A VCTS FOR THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS. ELEVATED INSTABILITY APPEARS TO BE LIMITED SO
PRECIP LOOKS TO BE LIGHT AND THERE MAY NOT EVEN BE A VSBY
RESTRICTION WITH THE PRECIP. WILL HAVE TO REEVALUATE THIS AS THE
FRONT GETS CLOSER.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          849 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           6 PM  210/16G23 MPH
                                     8 PM  190/12 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 601 AM):        200FT  213/16 MPH
                                      400FT  218/26 MPH
                                      600FT  225/34 MPH
                                      800FT  230/41 MPH
                                     1000FT  237/45 MPH
                                     1500FT  239/42 MPH
                                     2000FT  240/37 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 228/15 MPH
                                       51FT  227/18 MPH
                                      215FT  227/19 MPH
                                      503FT  227/20 MPH
                                      931FT  228/20 MPH
                                     1484FT  229/20 MPH
                                     2157FT  230/20 MPH
                                     2905FT  232/21 MPH
                                     3733FT  233/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 222/14 MPH
                                       48FT  221/17 MPH
                                      212FT  222/18 MPH
                                      500FT  223/19 MPH
                                      928FT  223/20 MPH
                                     1481FT  224/20 MPH
                                     2155FT  226/20 MPH
                                     2902FT  228/20 MPH
                                     3731FT  231/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 207/12 MPH
                                       48FT  208/16 MPH
                                      211FT  209/18 MPH
                                      500FT  210/19 MPH
                                      928FT  223/20 MPH
                                     1481FT  224/20 MPH
                                     2155FT  226/20 MPH
                                     2902FT  228/20 MPH
                                     3731FT  231/20 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                6 PM  3799 FT
                                     8 PM  3527 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        608 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  330/08 MPH
                    8 AM  360/08 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$







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