Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 192317
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
617 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 607 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

ASIDE FROM THE RAP THAT BRINGS SOME NOCTURNAL CONVECTION INTO
NORTHERN KS, MOST OTHER GUIDANCE KEEPS THE STORMS NORTH OF THE
STATE LINE. WITH ISENTROPIC SURFACES SHOWING THE BETTER
CONVERGENCE FROM THE LOW LEVEL JET REMAINING NORTH OF THE
TERMINALS, WILL CONTINUE WITH A VFR FORECAST. BOTH THE RAP AND NAM
SHOW A NOCTURNAL INVERSION DEVELOPING WITH 30 TO 40 KTS JUST ABOVE
THE BOUNDARY LAYER. THERE ARE MIXED SIGNALS AS TO THE STRENGTH OF
THE INVERSION AND THE IMPACT OF THE LOW LEVEL JET, HOWEVER FELT
THERE WAS ENOUGH EVIDENCE FOR POSSIBLE LLWS TO INCLUDE IT IN THE
FORECAST OVERNIGHT.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          812 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  160/06 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 601 PM):        200FT  186/07 MPH
                                      400FT  194/08 MPH
                                      600FT  199/09 MPH
                                      800FT  190/10 MPH
                                     1000FT  186/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  197/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  202/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 090/02 MPH
                                       39FT  096/02 MPH
                                      204FT  096/02 MPH
                                      488FT  103/02 MPH
                                      913FT  117/02 MPH
                                     1463FT  131/02 MPH
                                     2132FT  164/02 MPH
                                     2876FT  239/06 MPH
                                     3698FT  245/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 093/04 MPH
                                       48FT  093/04 MPH
                                      211FT  096/04 MPH
                                      498FT  096/04 MPH
                                      921FT  099/04 MPH
                                     1473FT  103/04 MPH
                                     2144FT  142/03 MPH
                                     2887FT  226/08 MPH
                                     3709FT  233/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 133/04 MPH
                                       48FT  135/06 MPH
                                      211FT  136/07 MPH
                                      498FT  139/07 MPH
                                      921FT  099/04 MPH
                                     1473FT  103/04 MPH
                                     2144FT  142/03 MPH
                                     2887FT  226/08 MPH
                                     3709FT  233/13 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  3885 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  190/06 MPH
                    8 AM  190/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






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