Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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839
SXUS43 KTOP 222337
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
637 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 636 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS OF THE PERIOD WILL BE LLWS, TIMING FOR
CONVECTION, AND WHEN LOW CEILINGS MOVE IN TOMORROW.  HAVE KEPT
PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR LLWS TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MORNING DUE TO
MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATING THIS POTENTIAL.  HIRES MODELS ARE STILL
SHOWING SIGNALS FOR STORMS TO MOVE THROUGH BETWEEN 11-14Z FOR ALL
TERMINALS AND HAVE INCLUDED VCTS FROM THIS TIME THROUGH THE END OF
THE PERIOD AS STORMS MAY REDEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON.  WITH ABUNDANT
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE, MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE IN TOMORROW FROM
WEST TO EAST.  IFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT WITH UNCERTAINTIES IN
STORM COVERAGE AND TIMING WHICH PLAY A ROLE IN THIS, HAVE NOT
MENTIONED LOWER THAN MVFR CEILINGS IN THIS TAF ISSUANCE.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          835 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 607 PM):        200FT  161/17 MPH
                                      400FT  159/19 MPH
                                      600FT  160/20 MPH
                                      800FT  159/20 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/21 MPH
                                     1500FT  164/23 MPH
                                     2000FT  164/24 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        36FT  162/14 MPH
                                      125FT  163/17 MPH
                                      283FT  164/18 MPH
                                      563FT  164/19 MPH
                                      980FT  164/20 MPH
                                     1519FT  164/20 MPH
                                     2172FT  164/20 MPH
                                     2899FT  164/20 MPH
                                     3705FT  164/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        39FT  160/15 MPH
                                      125FT  162/18 MPH
                                      287FT  162/20 MPH
                                      566FT  162/21 MPH
                                      981FT  162/22 MPH
                                     1520FT  162/22 MPH
                                     2172FT  162/22 MPH
                                     2897FT  162/22 MPH
                                     3703FT  162/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        42FT  167/14 MPH
                                      128FT  166/18 MPH
                                      289FT  167/21 MPH
                                      568FT  167/23 MPH
                                      981FT  162/22 MPH
                                     1520FT  162/22 MPH
                                     2172FT  162/22 MPH
                                     2897FT  162/22 MPH
                                     3703FT  162/21 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        603 AM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$



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