Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 200441
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1141 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1136 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT THE BEST CONVERGENCE ON THE NOSE OF THE
LOW LEVEL JET TO STAY JUST NORTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.
THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN A VFR FORECAST. RAP AND NAM FORECAST
SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME LLWS AND
PROFILER DATA IS STARTING TO SHOW THE WINDS AT 925MB STRENGTHEN.
SO WILL MAINTAIN THE MENTION OF WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY THE RAP
AND NAM SHOW A DECENT PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPING BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH DRY ADIABATIC LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND GOOD
MIXING. BECAUSE OF THIN THINK SOUTH WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY BY THE
AFTERNOON.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          812 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 601 PM):        200FT  186/07 MPH
                                      400FT  194/08 MPH
                                      600FT  199/09 MPH
                                      800FT  190/10 MPH
                                     1000FT  186/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  197/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  202/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 223/09 MPH
                                       63FT  228/21 MPH
                                      221FT  229/24 MPH
                                      502FT  233/35 MPH
                                      921FT  235/40 MPH
                                     1469FT  237/39 MPH
                                     2135FT  239/31 MPH
                                     2876FT  240/25 MPH
                                     3696FT  232/22 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 210/07 MPH
                                       66FT  223/18 MPH
                                      224FT  224/21 MPH
                                      504FT  233/32 MPH
                                      923FT  235/36 MPH
                                     1470FT  234/33 MPH
                                     2135FT  231/26 MPH
                                     2875FT  224/22 MPH
                                     3694FT  214/22 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 208/10 MPH
                                       63FT  213/17 MPH
                                      224FT  214/18 MPH
                                      503FT  225/28 MPH
                                      921FT  235/36 MPH
                                     1470FT  234/33 MPH
                                     2135FT  231/26 MPH
                                     2875FT  224/22 MPH
                                     3694FT  214/22 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  200/06 MPH
                    8 AM  200/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






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