Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 041756
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1256 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1239 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

FORECASTING VFR FOR MOST IF NOT ALL THE TAF PERIOD. THAT SAID, ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE EXPECTED AFTER THE 8Z TIME FRAME. GOOD
CONFIDENCE THAT WINDS STAY OUT OF THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AND
GRADUALLY INCREASE HEADING INTO THE MORNING AS THE HIGH CONTINUES
TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION AND THE RETURN FLOW INCREASES. NOT
CURRENTLY EXPECTING CIGS TO DIP INTO THE MVFR RANGE AT KTOP/KFOE
AT THIS TIME SO DID LEAVE VFR FOR NOW. KMHK WILL BE DEALING WITH
POTENTIAL REMNANTS OF OVERNIGHT CONVECTION MOVING IN FROM WESTERN
AND CENTRAL NE. IT IS POSSIBLE THERE COULD BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY
OVER THE REGION TO SEE A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BUT CONFIDENCE
IN LOCATION WOULD BE VERY LOW AT THIS POINT AND TIMING WOULD BE
LATER IN THE TAF PERIOD. PLANNERS SHOULD ALSO NOTE THAT THERE IS
SMALL POTENTIAL FOR WIND SHEAR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP IN THE
MORNING HOURS AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR LATER TAF UPDATES
CONCERNING THIS. WITH THE RETURN FLOW, DON`T BELIEVE FOG WILL BE A
CONCERN AS WINDS SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SUFFICIENT
MIXING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          852 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 601 AM):        200FT  141/04 MPH
                                      400FT  142/08 MPH
                                      600FT  148/09 MPH
                                      800FT  154/08 MPH
                                     1000FT  185/07 MPH
                                     1500FT  150/04 MPH
                                     2000FT  123/06 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 155/08 MPH
                                       81FT  155/09 MPH
                                      245FT  156/10 MPH
                                      525FT  156/10 MPH
                                      945FT  157/10 MPH
                                     1488FT  157/10 MPH
                                     2150FT  158/10 MPH
                                     2883FT  161/10 MPH
                                     3696FT  162/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 152/09 MPH
                                       84FT  152/10 MPH
                                      248FT  153/11 MPH
                                      531FT  152/11 MPH
                                      948FT  153/11 MPH
                                     1495FT  154/11 MPH
                                     2154FT  155/11 MPH
                                     2888FT  156/11 MPH
                                     3701FT  157/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 146/09 MPH
                                       84FT  148/11 MPH
                                      247FT  148/12 MPH
                                      527FT  149/13 MPH
                                      948FT  153/11 MPH
                                     1495FT  154/11 MPH
                                     2154FT  155/11 MPH
                                     2888FT  156/11 MPH
                                     3701FT  157/11 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        602 AM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$


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