000
SXUS43 KTOP 212327
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
627 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 626 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

MAIN CONCERN FOR THE TAFS IS WHETHER SOME MVFR CIGS BETWEEN 2 AND 3
KFT MOVE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO GET INTO THE TERMINALS. IF IT DOES IT
LOOKS LIKE IT WOULD BE DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS. CONFIDENCE IS
LOW WITH RAP AND NAM RH PROGS JUST CLIPPING THE TERMINALS WITH THE
HIGHER RH...SO HAVE KEPT A VFR FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          834 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  280/12 MPH
                                     8 PM  280/10 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 612 PM):        200FT  239/14 MPH
                                      400FT  233/18 MPH
                                      600FT  224/19 MPH
                                      800FT  219/19 MPH
                                     1000FT  218/17 MPH
                                     1500FT  220/16 MPH
                                     2000FT  230/17 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        30FT  274/13 MPH
                                      115FT  274/15 MPH
                                      271FT  273/16 MPH
                                      543FT  273/17 MPH
                                      946FT  272/17 MPH
                                     1471FT  271/17 MPH
                                     2107FT  271/18 MPH
                                     2814FT  269/18 MPH
                                     3598FT  269/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        30FT  289/13 MPH
                                      115FT  288/16 MPH
                                      271FT  287/17 MPH
                                      543FT  287/18 MPH
                                      946FT  286/18 MPH
                                     1472FT  285/19 MPH
                                     2109FT  284/19 MPH
                                     2817FT  282/19 MPH
                                     3602FT  281/19 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        27FT  289/09 MPH
                                      112FT  289/12 MPH
                                      268FT  288/14 MPH
                                      540FT  287/15 MPH
                                      946FT  286/18 MPH
                                     1472FT  285/19 MPH
                                     2109FT  284/19 MPH
                                     2817FT  282/19 MPH
                                     3602FT  281/19 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  2517 FT
                                     8 PM  2264 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        604 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  290/07 MPH
                    8 AM  290/09 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$