Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 280444
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1144 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

CONFIDENCE IN TIMING PRECIP AT THE TERMINALS REMAINS LOW AS MODELS
SHOW VARYING SOLUTIONS. IN GENERAL HAVE GONE WITH THE IDEA THAT
AFTER THE INITIAL CONVECTION SLOWLY MOVES IN, STORMS COULD FALL
APART MID TO LATE MORNING WITH THE WEAKENING OF THE LOW LEVEL JET
AND INITIAL VORT MAX PASSING NORTHEAST. THEN THERE MAY BE ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR SCATTERED TS DURING THE PEAK HEATING OF THE DAY.
CONTINUED WITH VFR CIGS, BUT FEEL LIKE MVFR VSBY WILL OCCUR WITH
THE PRECIP. IF INTENSITY REMAINS HIGH, IFR VSBY COULD OCCUR, BUT
INSTABILITY IS WEAKER ACROSS NORTHEAST KS SO I EXPECT AN OVERALL
WEAKENING TREND AS STORMS MOVE NORTHEAST.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          839 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 600 PM):        200FT  155/06 MPH
                                      400FT  140/07 MPH
                                      600FT  132/09 MPH
                                      800FT  126/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  128/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  139/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  142/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 120/08 MPH
                                       47FT  127/19 MPH
                                      204FT  130/22 MPH
                                      476FT  141/26 MPH
                                      887FT  148/24 MPH
                                     1418FT  156/21 MPH
                                     2069FT  160/17 MPH
                                     2792FT  168/15 MPH
                                     3592FT  185/15 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 167/07 MPH
                                       36FT  160/16 MPH
                                      195FT  159/18 MPH
                                      466FT  162/24 MPH
                                      871FT  170/27 MPH
                                     1404FT  179/27 MPH
                                     2053FT  181/25 MPH
                                     2774FT  178/22 MPH
                                     3571FT  181/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 157/11 MPH
                                       39FT  158/14 MPH
                                      195FT  159/16 MPH
                                      470FT  166/21 MPH
                                      878FT  170/27 MPH
                                     1404FT  179/27 MPH
                                     2053FT  181/25 MPH
                                     2774FT  178/22 MPH
                                     3571FT  181/20 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        601 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  130/06 MPH
                    8 AM  140/08 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






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