000
SXUS43 KTOP 181154
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
654 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 630 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013

INCONSISTENT STRATUS DECK WILL AFFECT AVIATION SITES THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS WITH CIGS BOUNCING BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR. EXPECT THAT
STRATUS TO GIVE WAY TO A CUMULUS FIELD AROUND 3500 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING WINDS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS COULD WORK THEIR WAY EASTWARD TOWARD
THE TERMINALS...BUT STRONG CAPPING INVERSION SHOULD PRECLUDE
T-STORMS FROM MAKING IT TO KTOP/KFOE...HOWEVER KMHK MAY SEE A
STRAY T-STORM OR TWO OVERNIGHT.

JL

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         607 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  130/06 MPH
                                     8 AM  130/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 627 AM):        200FT  152/08 MPH
                                      400FT  154/15 MPH
                                      600FT  158/19 MPH
                                      800FT  160/20 MPH
                                     1000FT  169/18 MPH
                                     1500FT  178/18 MPH
                                     2000FT  187/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 119/07 MPH
                                       99FT  120/10 MPH
                                      253FT  123/16 MPH
                                      525FT  133/23 MPH
                                      931FT  139/22 MPH
                                     1459FT  154/17 MPH
                                     2104FT  187/19 MPH
                                     2830FT  199/27 MPH
                                     3630FT  206/28 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        21 112/11 MPH
                                      105FT  114/14 MPH
                                      262FT  116/16 MPH
                                      534FT  128/25 MPH
                                      938FT  134/24 MPH
                                     1466FT  147/19 MPH
                                     2115FT  178/19 MPH
                                     2842FT  196/19 MPH
                                     3647FT  218/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 115/14 MPH
                                      100FT  115/17 MPH
                                      258FT  116/19 MPH
                                      532FT  116/20 MPH
                                      936FT  134/24 MPH
                                     1466FT  147/19 MPH
                                     2115FT  178/19 MPH
                                     2842FT  196/19 MPH
                                     3647FT  218/16 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1811 FT
                                     8 AM  1949 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         832 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 PM  140/14 MPH
                    8 PM  140/12 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$