Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 302326
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
626 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 624 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

IT`S A CHALLENGING FORECAST AS MODELS ARE NOT IN VERY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH CEILINGS THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS CLOUD COVER BREAKING
UP SLIGHTLY, ALLOWING THE MVFR CIGS TO RISE A BIT. HOWEVER, A
HANDFUL OF MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT CIGS WILL DROP ONCE AGAIN
TONIGHT WITH LOW-END MVFR CIGS AND POSSIBLY EVEN SOME IFR CIGS FOR
A FEW HOURS OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE LIFTING AND
SCATTERING OUT TO VFR CONDITIONS SOMETIME LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION, WINDS
WILL SHIFT FROM NORTH TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          841 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  360/10 MPH
                                     8 PM  360/09 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 606 PM):        200FT  006/11 MPH
                                      400FT  003/12 MPH
                                      600FT  003/13 MPH
                                      800FT  002/15 MPH
                                     1000FT  354/18 MPH
                                     1500FT  359/18 MPH
                                     2000FT  007/22 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 356/09 MPH
                                       70FT  357/11 MPH
                                      223FT  357/12 MPH
                                      490FT  357/13 MPH
                                      884FT  356/14 MPH
                                     1398FT  356/14 MPH
                                     2024FT  356/15 MPH
                                     2719FT  357/15 MPH
                                     3493FT  360/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 010/08 MPH
                                       70FT  010/10 MPH
                                      223FT  010/11 MPH
                                      491FT  009/12 MPH
                                      885FT  009/14 MPH
                                     1400FT  008/15 MPH
                                     2023FT  007/16 MPH
                                     2722FT  007/16 MPH
                                     3497FT  011/17 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 031/07 MPH
                                       72FT  029/10 MPH
                                      226FT  029/12 MPH
                                      491FT  028/13 MPH
                                      888FT  009/14 MPH
                                     1400FT  008/15 MPH
                                     2023FT  007/16 MPH
                                     2722FT  007/16 MPH
                                     3497FT  011/17 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  1406 FT
                                     8 PM  1341 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        559 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  020/06 MPH
                    8 AM  030/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






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