Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 162332
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
632 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO BEGIN THE TAF WILL LIKELY BECOME OVERCAST
MVFR AFTER 09Z AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES BUT REMAINS JUST SOUTH
OF TAF SITES. EXPECT A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP NEAR TAF
SITES AND DRIFT EAST AFTER 11Z (HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DEVELOPMENT,
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN LOCATION/TIMING). TOP/FOE STAND A BETTER
CHANCE OF HAVING TS THAN MHK. MVFR CIGS HAVE A GOOD CHANCE TO
LOWER TO IFR CONDITIONS WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT BR OR DZ FOR A
PERIOD FROM SUNRISE THROUGH 15-18Z OR SO. EXPECT CIGS TO SCATTER
BETWEEN 16-20Z WITH LOW CONFIDENCE IN EXACT TIMING OF SCT. MAY
THEN HAVE ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED TS DEVELOP AFTER 20Z BUT HAVE
NOT INCLUDED AT THIS TIME DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN TIMING/LOCATION.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          729 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  120/06 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 601 PM):        200FT  130/09 MPH
                                      400FT  131/09 MPH
                                      600FT  133/08 MPH
                                      800FT  136/07 MPH
                                     1000FT  147/08 MPH
                                     1500FT  164/10 MPH
                                     2000FT  182/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 128/06 MPH
                                       71FT  128/07 MPH
                                      228FT  130/07 MPH
                                      501FT  132/07 MPH
                                      907FT  136/07 MPH
                                     1434FT  142/07 MPH
                                     2075FT  151/06 MPH
                                     2786FT  168/05 MPH
                                     3570FT  260/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 134/07 MPH
                                       74FT  136/09 MPH
                                      231FT  138/10 MPH
                                      504FT  140/10 MPH
                                      910FT  142/10 MPH
                                     1437FT  148/10 MPH
                                     2076FT  159/09 MPH
                                     2788FT  183/09 MPH
                                     3577FT  246/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 106/06 MPH
                                       71FT  111/09 MPH
                                      228FT  116/11 MPH
                                      500FT  123/12 MPH
                                      906FT  142/10 MPH
                                     1437FT  148/10 MPH
                                     2076FT  159/09 MPH
                                     2788FT  183/09 MPH
                                     3577FT  246/12 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  2112 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        706 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  140/03 MPH
                    9 AM  160/05 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






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