Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 300427
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1127 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2014

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW TO MUCH DRY AIR IN PLACE FOR LARGE SCALE
FORCING TO GENERATE ANY PRECIP OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE THE FORECAST
ANTICIPATES VFR CONDITIONS PERSISTING. PROFILER DATA SHOWING THE
LOW LEVEL JET INCREASING WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS AT THE
SURFACE SO LLWS REMAINS A POSSIBILITY AND HAVE KEPT A MENTION IN
THE FORECAST. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXES OUT
WITH GOOD MOMENTUM TRANSFER SO THINK THERE WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          625 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 621 PM):        200FT  147/07 MPH
                                      400FT  152/11 MPH
                                      600FT  157/13 MPH
                                      800FT  160/15 MPH
                                     1000FT  177/15 MPH
                                     1500FT  186/16 MPH
                                     2000FT  188/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        22FT  197/06 MPH
                                      105FT  209/20 MPH
                                      253FT  209/24 MPH
                                      516FT  220/35 MPH
                                      908FT  229/45 MPH
                                     1423FT  236/51 MPH
                                     2056FT  243/54 MPH
                                     2762FT  252/55 MPH
                                     3544FT  262/50 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        22FT  204/09 MPH
                                      102FT  215/22 MPH
                                      251FT  218/24 MPH
                                      515FT  230/34 MPH
                                      906FT  242/43 MPH
                                     1420FT  249/48 MPH
                                     2051FT  253/46 MPH
                                     2754FT  258/36 MPH
                                     3535FT  268/28 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        24FT  230/09 MPH
                                      105FT  240/21 MPH
                                      254FT  242/25 MPH
                                      518FT  254/32 MPH
                                      908FT  242/43 MPH
                                     1420FT  249/48 MPH
                                     2051FT  253/46 MPH
                                     2754FT  258/36 MPH
                                     3535FT  268/28 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        748 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  240/07 MPH
                    9 AM  300/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$







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